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Broadcom Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.04% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Broadcom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Broadcom's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Broadcom Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Broadcom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Broadcom's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Broadcom Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Broadcom  (NAS:AVGO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Broadcom Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Broadcom Business Description

Broadcom logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Broadcom Inc (NAS:AVGO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
1320 Ridder Park Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131-2313
Broadcom--the combined entity of Broadcom and Avago--boasts a highly diverse product portfolio across an array of end markets. Avago focused primarily on radio frequency filters and amplifiers used in high-end smartphones, such as the Apple iPhone and Samsung Galaxy devices, in addition to an assortment of solutions for wired infrastructure, enterprise storage, and industrial end markets. Legacy Broadcom targeted networking semiconductors, such as switch and physical layer chips, broadband products (such as television set-top box processors), and connectivity chips that handle standards such as Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. The company has acquired Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec's enterprise security business to bolster its offerings in software.
Executives
Fernandez Raul J director 11600 SUNRISE VALLEY DR RESTON VA 20191
Lien Justine director 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Bryant Diane M director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD SANTA CLARA CA 95054
You Harry L. director EMC CORPORATION 176 SOUTH STREET HOPKINTON MA 01748
Krause Thomas H. officer: Chief Financial Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK SAN JOSE CA 95131
Ingram Bryan officer: SVP & GM, Wireless Semicon Div C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD, BLDG. 90 SAN JOSE CA 95131
Spears Kirsten M. officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK SAN JOSE CA 95131
Kawwas Charlie B officer: SVP & Chief Sales Officer C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES U.S. INC. 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95131
Brazeal Mark David officer: Chief Legal Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Tan Hock E director, officer: President and CEO BROADCOM INC. 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Silver Lake Partners V De (aiv), L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Associates V, L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slta V (gp), L.l.c. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Group, L.l.c. director 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025

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