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Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Biomarin Pharmaceutical  (NAS:BMRN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Biomarin Pharmaceutical Business Description

Biomarin Pharmaceutical logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Address
770 Lindaro Street, San Rafael, CA, USA, 94901
BioMarin's focus is on rare-disease therapies. Genzyme (now part of Sanofi) markets Aldurazyme through its joint venture with BioMarin, and BioMarin markets Naglazyme, Vimizim, and Brineura independently. BioMarin also markets Kuvan and Palynziq to treat the rare metabolic disorder PKU (in addition to long-standing U.S. rights, BioMarin has reacquired international rights for Kuvan and Palynziq from Merck KGaA). BioMarin's Roctavian (hemophilia A gene therapy) and vosoritide (treatment for achondroplasia) are poised to potentially launch in the 2021-22 timeframe.
Executives
Ajer Jeffrey Robert officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. 105 DIGITAL DRIVE NOVATO CA 94949
Heron Elaine J director 6 STONEGATE RD PONTOLA VALLEY CA 94028
Pyott David E I director C/O ALLERGAN 2525 DUPONT DRIVE IRVINE CA 92612
Grey Michael G director C/O SGX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 10505 ROSELLE STREET SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Fuchs Henry J officer: President, Worldwide R&D C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. 105 DIGITAL DRIVE NOVATO CA 94949
Acosta Andrea officer: GVP, Chief Accouning Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. 770 LINDARO ST SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Dere Willard H director ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Lawlis V Bryan director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: LAWLIS V BRYAN a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Anderson Elizabeth M director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE BUILDING 10 BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Hombach Robert J. director C/O BAXALTA INCORPORATED 1200 LAKESIDE DRIVE BANNOCKBURN IL 60015
Slamon Dennis director 770 LINDARO STREET SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Meier Richard A director 1700 E ST ANDREW PLACE SANTA ANA CA 92705
Bienaime Jean Jacques director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 925 PAGE MILL ROAD PALO ALTO CA 94304
Guyer Charles Greg officer: EVP, Chief Technical Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. 770 LINDARO ST. SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Mueller Brian officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. 105 DIGITAL DRIVE NOVATO CA 94949

Biomarin Pharmaceutical Headlines

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