>
Switch to:

CSG Systems International Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1996. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CSG Systems International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, CSG Systems International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

CSG Systems International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, CSG Systems International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CSG Systems International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CSG Systems International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CSG Systems International  (NAS:CSGS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CSG Systems International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CSG Systems International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CSG Systems International Business Description

CSG Systems International logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 541511 SIC : 7374
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6175 S. Willow Drive, 10th Floor, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111
CSG Systems International Inc. is a provider of business support solutions for the communications industry. Its solutions include cable and satellite care and billing, content management and monetization, convergent rating and billing, mediation and data management, and wholesale settlement and routing. They help companies with transaction-centric models to manage operations by capturing and managing revenue associated with large transaction volumes. The company derives revenue from software license agreements and professional services. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States.
Executives
Fawaz Marwan director 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE SAINT LOUIS MO 63131
Song Haiyan director 333 UPLANDS DR HILLSBOROUGH CA 94010
Tavares Silvio director 20 TIPTOE LANE BURLINGAME CA 94010
Kennedy Kenneth M officer: EVP & Pres, Technlgy & Product 33 W MONROE ST, SUITE 900 CHICAGO IL 60603
Barnes David G director 6175 S WILLOW DR 10TH FLOOR GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Shepherd Brian A. officer: EVP & Group President 9197 SOUTH PEORIA STREET ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Cooper Ronald director 1700 EAST TUFTS AVE. ENGLEWOOD CO 80113
Sica Frank V director CSG SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL INC 7887 E BELLEVIEW AVE STE 1000 ENGEWOOD CO 801111
Reed Donald director 45 FREEMONT ST SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Obuchowski Janice I director 21700 ATLANTIC BLVD ORBITAL SCIENCES CORP DULLES VA 20166
Naik Rajan director 500 WEST MONROE STREET CHICAGO IL 60661
Unruh James A director C/O PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC 751 BROAD ST. 4TH FL. NEWARK NJ 01702
Johns Rolland B officer: EVP & CFO 9555 MAROON CIRCLE ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Schaaf David Neil officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 6175 SOUTH WILLOW DRIVE GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Griess Bret C officer: CEO and President 9555 MAROON CIRCLE ENGLEWOOD CO 80112

CSG Systems International Headlines

Other Sources

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)