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DocuSign Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 3.25% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, DocuSign's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 3.25%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, DocuSign's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

DocuSign Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, DocuSign's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DocuSign's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



DocuSign Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.39

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=3.25%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


DocuSign  (NAS:DOCU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DocuSign Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DocuSign's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DocuSign Business Description

DocuSign logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 511210 SIC : 7379
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
221 Main Street, Suite 1550, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
DocuSign offers the Agreement Cloud, a broad cloud-based software suite that enables users to automate the agreement process and provide legally binding e-signatures from nearly any device. The company was founded in 2003 and completed its IPO in May 2018.
Executives
Gaylor Cynthia officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PIVOTAL SOFTWARE, INC. 875 HOWARD STREET, FIFTH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Olrich Scott V. officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Salem Enrique T director SYMANTEC CORPORATION 20330 STEVENS CREEK BLVD. CUPERTINO CA 95014
Solvik Peter director 2105 SOUTH BASCOM AVE. #370 CAMPBELL CA 95008
Alhadeff Loren officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Wilderotter Mary Agnes director 115 ALPINE TERRACE OAKLAND CA 94618
Springer Daniel D. director, officer: President and CEO C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Phi Tram T officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O IMPERVA, INC. 3400 BRIDGE PARKWAY REDWOOD SHORES CA 94065
Suh Inhi Cho director C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Singh Sudhir Steven director 6222 185TH AVE REDMOND WA 98052
Irving Blake director 14455 N. HAYDEN RD. SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Briggs Teresa director 2225 LAWSON LANE SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Beer James A director MCKESSON CORPORATION ONE POST STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Wolberg Kirsten O. officer: Chief Technology & Ops Officer 900 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD MILPITAS CA 95035
Sheridan Michael J officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105

DocuSign Headlines

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