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eHealth (eHealth) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is eHealth Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where eHealth's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



eHealth Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


eHealth  (NAS:EHTH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


eHealth Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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eHealth (eHealth) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » eHealth Inc (NAS:EHTH) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2625 Augustine Drive, Suite 150, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054
eHealth Inc offers a private health insurance exchange where individuals and small businesses can compare health insurance products from leading insurers. Users can purchase the insurance online. The exchange includes Medicare options, and seniors can enroll in those plans online or via phone. The company primarily generates revenue through commissions it receives from health insurance carriers. EHealth has relationships with the health insurance carriers in the United States and offers thousands of plans online. All of the company's revenue is from the United States.
Executives
Dale B Wolf director
Gavin G. Galimi officer: SVP, General Counsel & Secr. 2625 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SECOND FLOOR, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Soistman Francis S Jr director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3721 RECPORT DRIVE, HARRISBURG PA 17106
John J Stelben officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer 6705 ROCKLEDGE DR, SUITE 900, BETHESDA MD 21710
John Joseph Dolan officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EHEALTH, INC., 2625 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Phillip A Morelock officer: Chief Digital Officer C/O EHEALTH, INC., 2625 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SECOND FLOOR, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Roman V Rariy officer: COO & Chief Transformation Off C/O EHEALTH, INC., 2625 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SECOND FLOOR, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Erin L Russell director 245 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Timothy C. Hannan officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O EHEALTH INC., 440 EAST MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
A John Hass director ROSETTA STONE, 1621 NORTH KENT STREET, SUITE 1200, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Christine A Janofsky officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer 150 N RADNOR CHESTER ROAD, RADNOR PA 19087
H.i.g. Middle Market Lbo Fund Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 1450 BRICKELL AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33131
H.i.g. Middle Market Advisors Iii, Llc 10 percent owner C/O H.I.G. CAPITAL, LLC, 1450 BRICKELL AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33131
Echelon Health Spv, Lp 10 percent owner C/O H.I.G. CAPITAL, LLC, 1450 BRICKELL AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33131
Echelon Health Spv Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O H.I.G. CAPITAL, LLC, 1450 BRICKELL AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33131