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Fate Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.49% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fate Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.49%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Fate Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Fate Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Fate Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fate Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fate Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.32

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.49%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fate Therapeutics  (NAS:FATE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fate Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fate Therapeutics Business Description

Fate Therapeutics logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2836
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3535 General Atomics Court, Suite 200, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Fate Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company based in the United States. It is engaged in the development of programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and immune disorders. The company's cell therapy pipeline is comprised of NK- and T-cell immuno-oncology programs, including off-the-shelf engineered product candidates derived from clonal master iPSC lines, and immuno-regulatory programs, including product candidates to prevent life-threatening complications in patients.
Executives
Tahl Cindy officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT, STE 200 SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Shoemaker Daniel D officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT, SUITE 200 SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Valamehr Bahram officer: Chief Development Officer C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT, STE 200 SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Dulac Edward J Iii officer: Chief Financial Officer FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT STE 200 SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Redmile Group, Llc director, 10 percent owner ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE BUILDING D, SUITE D3-300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Green Jeremy director, 10 percent owner ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D SUITE D3-300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Jooss Karin director C/O GRITSTONE ONCOLOGY, INC. 5858 HORTON STREET, SUITE 210 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Agarwal Shefali director C/O EPIZYME, INC., 400 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Mendlein John director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: MENDLEIN JOHN a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Rastetter William H director 9885 TOWNE CENTRE DR. SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Hershberg Robert director 3005 FIRST AVENUE SEATTLE WA 98121
Coughlin Timothy director 339 NORTH GRANADOS AVE SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Lee Michael Stewart director C/O REDMILE GROUP, LLC ONE LETTERMAN DR., BLDG. D, SUITE D3-300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Epstein Robert S director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EPSTEIN ROBERT S a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Wolchko J Scott director, officer: President and CEO C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 3535 GENERAL ATOMICS COURT, SUITE 200 SAN DIEGO CA 92121

Fate Therapeutics Headlines

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