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Guardant Health Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 15.43% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Guardant Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 15.43%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Guardant Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Guardant Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Guardant Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guardant Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Guardant Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.70

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=15.43%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Guardant Health  (NAS:GH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Guardant Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guardant Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guardant Health Business Description

Guardant Health logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
505 Penobscot Drive, Redwood City, CA, USA, 94063
Guardant Health, based in Redwood City, California, provides cancer blood tests and analytics for clinical and research use, and the firm maintains research partnerships with large biopharmaceutical companies. The company offers Guardant 360, a blood-based (liquid biopsy) test for treatment selection in advanced stage cancer, and Guardant Omni, a broader gene panel for immuno-oncology research. The company's pipeline includes Guardant Reveal (formerly Lunar-1), for cancer recurrence detection in survivors, and Lunar-2, a liquid biopsy for early detection of cancer in higher-risk individuals, with an initial focus on colorectal cancer. Additionally, Guardant offers research development services. The United States accounts for 90% of total revenue, and other markets the remaining 10%.
Executives
Talasaz Amirali director, officer: Chairman, President and COO 18 ISABELLA AVENUE ATHERTON CA 94027
Kaul Samir director C/O KHOSLA VENTURES 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, BLDG. 3, SUITE 170 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Meresman Stanley J director 2071 HUNTINGTON LANE LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Svf Bluebird (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Svf Enterprise (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Sb Investment Advisers (uk) Ltd 10 percent owner 69 GROSVENOR STREET LONDON X0 W1K 3JP
Softbank Vision Fund (aiv M1) L.p. 10 percent owner 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE WILMINGTON DE 19808
Svf Endurance (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Clark Ian T director SOLAZYME, INC. 225 GATEWAY BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Eltoukhy Helmy director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2 BARRY LANE ATHERTON CA 94027
Bertocci Derek A officer: Chief Financial Officer 3070 ORCHARD DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Saia John G. officer: See Remarks C/O ACELRX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 351 GALVESTON DRIVE REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Gadde Vijaya director C/O TWITTER INC 1355 MARKET STREET SUITE 900 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Jallal Bahija director 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Nishar Dipchand director C/O LINKEDIN CORPORATION 2029 STIERLIN COURT MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043

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