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Strategic Education Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.32% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Strategic Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.32%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Strategic Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Strategic Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Strategic Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Strategic Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Strategic Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.32%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Strategic Education  (NAS:STRA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Strategic Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Strategic Education Business Description

Strategic Education logo
Industry
Consumer Defensive » Education NAICS : 611310 SIC : 8299
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2303 Dulles Station Boulevard, Herndon, VA, USA, 20171
Strategic Education Inc is engaged in providing educational services. It offers flexible and affordable associate, bachelor's, master's, and doctoral programs. Strategic Education provides courses in the eastern United States. The group operates through segments namely: Strayer University Segment, Capella University Segment, and Australia/New Zealand Segment.
Executives
Grusky Robert R director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Casteen John T Iii director 301 S. COLLEGE STREET 30TH FLOOR, NC0630 CHARLOTTE NC 28288-0630
Gilligan J Kevin director, Vice Chairman P O BOX 1441 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Fick Nathaniel C. director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION 2303 DULLES STATION BLVD. HERNDON VA 20171
Dallas H James director 127 PUBLIC SQUARE CLEVELAND OH 44114
Brogley Rita D director 225 SOUTH 6TH STREET, 9TH FLOOR MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Waite G Thomas Iii director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Beason Charlotte F director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Aprahamian Thomas J officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Hokenson Christa officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O STRATEGIC EDUCATION, INC. 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Mcdonnell Raymond Karl director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Jackson Daniel Wayne officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC. 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Watt Andrew E officer: Chief Operating Officer 225 SOUTH SIXTH STREET 9TH FLOOR MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Herraiz Lizette Benedi officer: General Counsel 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Silberman Robert S director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171

Strategic Education Headlines

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