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World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.38

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


World Acceptance  (NAS:WRLD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


World Acceptance Business Description

World Acceptance logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 522291 SIC : 6141
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
104 S. Main Street, Greenville, SC, USA, 29601
World Acceptance Corp operates a small-loan consumer finance business. The company offers short-term small installment loans, medium-term larger installment loans, related credit insurance and ancillary products and services to individuals. It also offers income tax return preparation services to its loan customers and other individuals.
Executives
Caulder Alice Lindsay officer: SVP, Human Resources 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Mcintyre Scott officer: SVP, Accounting 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Childers Jason E. officer: SVP, IT Strategic Solutions 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Umstetter Luke J. officer: SVP, General Counsel 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Prashad R Chad director, officer: President and CEO 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Calmes John L Jr officer: See remarks C/O WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPORATION 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Whitaker Darrell E director 14 BATSON ORCHARD CT. TAYLORS SC 29687
Dyer Daniel Clinton officer: Chief Branch Operation Officer 230 4TH AVENUE NORTH SUITE 500 NASHVILLE TN 37219
Bramlett Ken R Jr director 2709 WATER RIDGE PARKWAY 2ND FLOOR CHARLOTTE NC 28217
Way Charles D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: WAY CHARLES D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Tinney Jeff L officer: SVP, Western Division 550 HIGHWAY 377 NORTH STE A WHITESBORO TX 76273
Brown Erik T. officer: SVP Central Division P.O. BOX 548 JACKSON MO 63755
Willyard Jackie C officer: SVP, Southeastern Division 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Labruyere Alison N officer: SVP and General Counsel 108 FREDERICK STREET GREENVILLE SC 29607
Wanserski James H officer: Interim President & CEO C/O 22 CANTEY PLACE, NW ATLANTA 2Q 30327

World Acceptance Headlines

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