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Bunge Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bunge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, Bunge's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Bunge Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Bunge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bunge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bunge Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.50

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bunge  (NYSE:BG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bunge Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Bunge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Bunge Business Description

Bunge logo
Industry
Address
1391 Timberlake Manor Parkway, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63017
Founded in 1818, Bunge is a global agribusiness and food company with operations along the farm-to-consumer food chain. The agribusiness segment generates roughly two thirds of profits and includes the largest oilseed processing capacity globally. The company is a leading oilseed processor and seller of packaged vegetable oils and other food and ingredients products.
Executives
Wagner Robert officer: Chief Risk Officer 1391 TIMBERLAKE MANOR PARKWAY CHESTERFIELD MT 63017
Browner Carol M. director C/O BUNGE LIMITED 50 MAIN STREET, 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Mauger Pierre officer: Chief Transformation Officer C/O BUNGE LIMITED, 50 MAIN STREET 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Winship Henry Ward Iv director PO BOX 8614 RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
Padilla Raul officer: President, Global Operations C/O BUNGE LTD 50 MAIN STREET WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Borg Deborah officer: EVP & Chief HR, Comms Officer C/O BUNGE LIMITED, 50 MAIN STREET 8TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Dimopoulos Christos officer: Pres., Global Supply Chains C/O BUNGE LIMITED 50 MAIN STREET, 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Neppl John W officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 1811 AKSARBEN DRIVE OMAHA NE 68106
Zachman Brian officer: President Global Risk Mgmnt C/O BUNGE LIMITED 50 MAIN STREET, 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Buettner Aaron officer: SVP, Bunge Loders Croklaan C/O BUNGE LIMITED 50 MAIN STREET, 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Podwika Joseph officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O BUNGE LIMITED 50 MAIN STREET, 6TH FLOOR WHITE PLAINS NY 10606
Simmons Jerry Matthews Jr officer: Controller, Principal Actg Off TWO N. NINTH STREET ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Bair Sheila Colleen director 6903 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, SUITE 1500 BETHESDA MD 20817
Fribourg Paul J director 667 MADISON AVE NEW YORK NY 10021
Fyrwald J Erik director LILLY CORPORATE CENTER INDIANAPOLIS IN 46285

Bunge Headlines

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