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EnerSys Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.13% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, EnerSys's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, EnerSys's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

EnerSys Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, EnerSys's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where EnerSys's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



EnerSys Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.65

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


EnerSys  (NYSE:ENS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


EnerSys Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of EnerSys's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


EnerSys Business Description

EnerSys logo
Industry
Industrials » Industrial Products NAICS : 335911 SIC : 5063
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2366 Bernville Road, Reading, PA, USA, 19605
EnerSys provides stored energy solutions for industrial applications. It also manufactures and distributes energy systems solutions and motive power batteries, specialty batteries, battery chargers, power equipment, battery accessories and outdoor equipment enclosure solutions to customers worldwide. Energy Systems which combine enclosures, power conversion, power distribution and energy storage are used in the telecommunication and broadband, utility industries, uninterruptible power supplies, and numerous applications requiring stored energy solutions. Its segments include Energy Systems, Motive Power, and Specialty.
Executives
Katsaros Arthur T director 7201 HAMILTON BLVD ALLENTOWN PA 181951501
Tufano Paul J director C/O SOLECTRON CORPORATION 847 GIBRALTAR DR. MILPITAS CA 95035
Vargo Ronald P director 41 UNIVERSITY DRIVE, SUITE 202 NEWTOWN PA 18940
Kane Kerry M officer: VP, Corporate Controller & PAO 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Magnus Robert director 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Connors Nelda J director BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Chung Hwan-yoon director METALMARK CAPITAL LLC 1177 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 40TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10036
Schmidtlein Michael J officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Hoffen Howard I director 1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Fludder Steven M director 264 NANTASKET ROAD HULL MA 02045
Shaffer David M director, officer: President & CEO C/O ENERSYS 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Zogby Andrew M. officer: Pres. Energy Systems Global 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Chan Caroline director 2366 BERNVILLE ROAD READING PA 19605
Lehman John F director 450 PARK AVENUE 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022
Marlo Dennis S director 1130 BERKSHIRE BOULEVARD WYOMISSING PA 19610

EnerSys Headlines

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