>
Switch to:

Leidos Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.06% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Leidos Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Leidos Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Leidos Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Leidos Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leidos Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Leidos Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.44

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Leidos Holdings  (NYSE:LDOS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Leidos Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Leidos Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Leidos Holdings Business Description

Leidos Holdings logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 541513 SIC : 7373
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11951 Freedom Drive, Reston, VA, USA, 20190
Leidos Holdings Inc is engaged in scientific, engineering, system integration, technical services, and solutions to various government entities and highly regulated industries, including the U.S. Department of Defense, Intelligence Community and the British Ministry of Defense. Areas of focus include intelligence and surveillance, cybersecurity, complex logistics, energy, and health.
Executives
John Miriam E director 7011 EAST AVENUE LIVERMORE CA 94550
Moos James Robert officer: Group President 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Kraemer Harry M Jansen Jr director DENTSPLY SIRONA INC. 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Krone Roger A director, officer: CEO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KRONE ROGER A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Cage Christopher R officer: SVP and Corporate Controller 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Kendall Frank Iii director 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Reagan James officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O DELTEK 13880 DULLES CORNER LANE HERNDON VA 20171
Howe Jerald S Jr officer: Executive VP & General Counsel PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: HOWE JERALD S JR a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Williams Noel B director ONE PARK PLAZA NASHVILLE TN 37203
Schmanske Mary Vicki officer: Group President 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Porter Elizabeth A officer: Group President 1750 PRESIDENTS STREET RESTON VA 20190
Stevens Roy E officer: Chief of Business Development 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
May Gary Stephen director 11951 FREEDOM DRIVE RESTON VA 20190
Fubini David G director D.G. FUBINI CONSULTANTS, LLC 80 SEARS ROAD BROOKLINE MA 02445
Stalnecker Susan M director TWO N NINTHST ALLENTOWN PA 18101

Leidos Holdings Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)