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Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co (SHSE:688004) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.50

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co  (SHSE:688004) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 7 Fengxian Middle Road, Room 501, 5th Floor, Haidian District (Incubation Building), Beijing, CHN, 100094
Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co Ltd is an information technology company focused on audiovisual big data. Its business covers the three main areas of audiovisual business operation and maintenance platform, media content security and informationized audiovisual data management. In audiovisual business operation and maintenance platforms, it targets broadcasters such as IPTV / OTT operators, broadcast and television network companies at all levels, new media broadcast control platforms, Internet video content providers, radio and television stations, and related government departments. In media content security, it provides all-media content security solutions for government regulatory agencies at all levels to help government regulatory agencies ensure media content security.
Executives
Wang Rong Fang Core technical personnel
Sun Chuan Ming Director
Guo Zhong Wu Directors, senior managers
Zheng Jin Fu Director

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