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Apple Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 18.88% (As of Mar. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Apple's forward rate of return for was 18.88%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AAPL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.35   Med: 23.12   Max: 28.89
Current: 19.28

During the past 13 years, Apple's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.89. The lowest was 9.35. And the median was 23.12.

AAPL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
77.04% of 1529 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 7.65 vs AAPL: 19.28

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Apple Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apple Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.24 17.24 13.60 9.70 16.13

Apple Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.57 14.32 16.13 17.43 18.88

Competitive Comparison

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Apple Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Apple Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Apple's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.11504762/174.61+0.1652
=18.88 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apple  (NAS:AAPL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Apple Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apple Business Description

Apple logo
Industry
Technology » Hardware NAICS : 334220 SIC : 3571
Address
One Apple Park Way, Cupertino, CA, USA, 95014
Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (Mac), smartwatches (Apple Watch), AirPods, and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple's total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.
Executives
Kondo Chris officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Maestri Luca officer: Senior Vice President, CFO 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Adams Katherine L. officer: SVP, GC and Secretary APPLE INC. 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Williams Jeffrey E officer: COO ONE INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Cook Timothy D director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O APPLE INC ONE INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Jung Andrea director C/O APPLE INC ONE APPLE PARK WAY CUPERTINO CA 95014
Wagner Susan director C/O BLACKROCK, INC. 40 EAST 52ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10022
Bell James A director C/O THE DOW CHEMICAL COMPANY 2211 H.H. DOW WAY MIDLAND MI 48674
Levinson Arthur D director C/O GENENTECH INC 1 DNA WAY MS 49 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080-4990
Sugar Ronald D director 10877 WILSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 1650 LOS ANGELES CA 900274
Gore Albert Jr director C/O APPLE INC 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Iger Robert A director C/O WALT DISNEY CO 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Ahrendts Angela J officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Srouji Johny officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP CUPERTINO CA 95014
Federighi Craig officer: Senior Vice President 807 11TH AVENUE SUNNYVALE CA 94089

Apple Headlines

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