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American Assets Trust (American Assets Trust) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 6.16% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is American Assets Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. American Assets Trust's forward rate of return for was 6.16%.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AAT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.12   Med: 4.85   Max: 20.86
Current: 6.32

During the past 13 years, American Assets Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.86. The lowest was 1.12. And the median was 4.85.

AAT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
55.6% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.245 vs AAT: 6.32

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


American Assets Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Assets Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

American Assets Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.03 5.49 1.23 2.34 6.16

American Assets Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.34 4.44 4.84 5.81 6.16

Competitive Comparison of American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



American Assets Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.90380952/22.51+0.0214
=6.16 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Assets Trust  (NYSE:AAT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


American Assets Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Assets Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Assets Trust (American Assets Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3420 Carmel Mountain Road, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
American Assets Trust Inc is a self-administered real estate investment trust based in the United States. The company invests in, operates, and develops retail, office, residential, and mixed-use properties. Properties are primarily located in South California, Northern California, Oregon, Washington, and Hawaii. American Assets operates through four segments based on property type: retail; office; mixed-use, which consists of retail and hotel components; and multifamily, which includes the company's apartment properties. The retail and office segments collectively contribute the majority of the total revenue.
Executives
Ernest S Rady director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 23 PASTEUR ROAD, C/O WESTCORP, IRVINE CA 92618
Nina A Tran director C/O AMB PROPERTY CORPORATION, PIER 1, BAY 1, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Adam Wyll officer: Senior VP, Gen Counsel and Sec 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Robert F. Barton officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Joy L. Schaefer director 30699 RUSSELL RANCH ROAD, SUITE 295, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91362
Duane Nelles director 23 PASTEUR ROAD, IRVINE CA 92618
Jerry Gammieri officer: V. P. Construction and Devlp 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Patrick Kinney officer: Senior VP of Real Estate Ops 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
John W. Chamberlain director, officer: CEO and President 11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
American Assets Inc 10 percent owner 3430 CARMEL MOUNTAIN ROAD, SUITE 150, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Alan D Gold director 17140 BERNARDO CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 195, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Larry E Finger director 1626 EAST JEFFERSON ST, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Thomas S Olinger director C/O AMB PROPERTY CORPORATION, PIER 1, BAY 1, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Robert S Sullivan director P O BOX 1637, HOUSTON TX 77251
Lange Edward F Jr director 405 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022

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