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Carter's (Carter's) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 16.28% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Carter's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Carter's's forward rate of return for was 16.28%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CRI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.57   Med: 14.01   Max: 24.47
Current: 16.65

During the past 13 years, Carter's's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.47. The lowest was 2.57. And the median was 14.01.

CRI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
55.01% of 738 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 14.395 vs CRI: 16.65

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Carter's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carter's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Carter's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.41 3.57 9.09 14.17 16.28

Carter's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.17 13.70 14.19 14.23 16.28

Competitive Comparison of Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Carter's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Carter's's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=9.00171429/74.89+0.0426
=16.28 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carter's  (NYSE:CRI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Carter's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Carter's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Carter's (Carter's) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3438 Peachtree Road North East, Phipps Tower, Suite 1800, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30326
Carter's Inc makes apparel for babies and children under brand names including Carter's and OshKosh B'gosh. It sells its products through a multi-channel business model, which includes retail stores, eCommerce, and wholesale sales channels, as well as retail omnichannel capabilities in the United States and Canada, which enables it to reach a broad range of consumers around the world. The company operates in three segments; U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The majority of Carter's sales are in the U.S. and through Carter's brand. The company predominantly sources products through contract manufacturers in Asia. It has multiple distribution centers in the U.S., in addition to distribution centers in Canada and Asia that serve international customers.
Executives
Michael Dennis Casey director, officer: Chairman and CEO 1170 PEACHTREE STREE NE STE 900, ATLANTA GA 30309
Julie D'emilio officer: EVP, Sales 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30326
Ben Pivar officer: SVP, CIO 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30326
Richard F. Westenberger officer: EVP and CFO 1170 PEACHTREE STREET, SUITE 900, ATLANTA GA 30309
Brian Lynch officer: President, Carter's, Inc. 1170 PEACHTREE ST., ATLANTA GA 30309
Kendra Krugman officer: EVP, Merchandising and Design 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30326
Jeff Jenkins officer: EVP Global Marketing 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, ATLANTA GA 30306
Jill Wilson officer: SVP HR and Talent Development 1170 PEACHTREE ST., ATLANTA GA 30309
William J Montgoris director C/O OFFICEMAX INCORPORATED, 263 SHUMAN BLVD., NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Karen Marie Smith officer: EVP Supply Chain 15960 MEADOW KING WAY, MILTON GA 30004
Stacey Rauch director C/O ASCENA RETAIL GROUP, INC., 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD, MAHWAH NJ 07430
Jeffrey Harry Black director ONE CARRIER PLACE, FARMINGTON CT 06032
Rochester Jr. Anderson director 268 LASSITER DRIVE, ELLENWOOD GA 30294
Stephanie Stahl director C/O KNOLL, INC., 1235 WATER STREET, EAST GREENVILLE PA 18041
Scott F. Duggan officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Secy C/O THE FRESH MARKET, INC., 628 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 500, GREENSBORO NC 27408