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First Horizon (NYSE:FHN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 9.72% (As of Sep. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. First Horizon's forward rate of return for was 9.72%.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FHN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.76   Med: 14.2   Max: 58.61
Current: 9.18

During the past 13 years, First Horizon's highest Forward Rate of Return was 58.61. The lowest was 8.76. And the median was 14.20.

FHN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
79.95% of 1237 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 17.52 vs FHN: 9.18

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


First Horizon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Horizon Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.48 17.76 15.26 12.77 -

First Horizon Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.77 9.09 9.27 9.72 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

First Horizon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



First Horizon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=1.668/0+0.0046
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Horizon  (NYSE:FHN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


First Horizon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Horizon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Horizon (NYSE:FHN) Business Description

First Horizon logo
Industry
Address
165 Madison Avenue, Memphis, TN, USA, 38103
First Horizon Corp is the parent company of First Tennessee Bank, a prominent regional bank with about 200 branches around Tennessee. The regional bank is responsible for roughly 65% of its revenue, while capital markets make a 25% contribution. The remainder is split between the firm's non-strategic (wind-down) and corporate operations. First Horizon concentrates on offering a variety of banking products mainly in its home state, where it has the second- largest deposit franchise with a 13% deposit market share.
Executives
Dmuchowski Hope officer: Sr. EVP & CFO 165 MADISON AVE MEMPHIS TN 38103
Casbon John N director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Locascio Tammy officer: Sr. EVP, Chief HR Officer 165 MADISON AVE MEMPHIS TN 38103
Kemp Sr James Michael director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Maples Ricky E director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Akins Terry Lawson officer: Sr. EVP, Chief Risk Officer 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Ardoin Elizabeth A officer: SEVP, Chief Communications Ofc 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Sugranes Rosa director 2975 N.W. 77TH AVE DORAL FL 33132
Restel Anthony J officer: SEVP Chief Operating Officer 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Shea E Stewart Iii director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Fenstermaker William H director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Byrd Daryl G director, officer: Executive Chairman of Board 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Barton Harry V Jr director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Brown Michael J officer: President - Regional Banking 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Davidson Wendy P director 2210 WEST OAKLAWN DRIVE SPRINGDALE AR 72762

First Horizon (NYSE:FHN) Headlines

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