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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Key Energy Services's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
The historical data trend for Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2020 is
Forward Rate of Return | = | Normalized Free Cash Flow | / | Price | + | 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate |
= | 3154.87085714 | / | 5.75 | + | 0.0449 | |
= | 54,871.81 % |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Key Energy Services (OTCPK:KEGX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Key Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Louis Coale | officer: VP and Controller | 41 ROLLING LINKS SPRING TX 77386 |
Nelson Haight | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 4400 POST OAK PARKWAY, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77027 |
Marcus C Rowland | director | 920 MEMORIAL CITY WAY, SUITE 850, HOUSTON TX 77024 |
Alan B. Menkes | director | 1160 DAIRY ASHFORD RD, STE 160, HOUSTON TX 77079 |
Katherine Hargis | officer: VP, CLO and Secretary | 1301 MCKINNEY STREET SUITE 1800 HOUSTON TX 77010 |
Sherman Iii Edmiston | director | ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141 |
Wommack H H Iii | director | SOUTHWEST ROYALTIES INC, 407 N BIG SPRING STREET SUITE 300, MIDLAND TX 79701 |
Jacob Kotzubei | director | 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210 |
J Marshall Dodson | officer: President, CEO, Interim CFO | C/O KEY ENERGY SERVICES, INC. 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1800 HOUSTON TX 77010 |
Goldman Sachs & Co. Llc | 10 percent owner | 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282 |
Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 10 percent owner | 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282 |
Blackrock Inc. | 10 percent owner | 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001 |
Bluemountain Capital Management, Llc | 10 percent owner | 280 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017 |
Bluemountain Gp Holdings, Llc | 10 percent owner | 280 PARK AVENUE,, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017 |
Blue Mountain Credit Alternatives Master Fund L.p. | 10 percent owner | C/O BLUEMOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 280 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR EAST, NEW YORK NY 10017 |
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