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Kimberly-Clark (Kimberly-Clark) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 2.41% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Kimberly-Clark's forward rate of return for was 2.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

KMB' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: 5.99   Max: 15.27
Current: 2.26

During the past 13 years, Kimberly-Clark's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.27. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was 5.99.

KMB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
62.67% of 1259 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 7.67 vs KMB: 2.26

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Kimberly-Clark Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kimberly-Clark Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.96 10.42 4.18 4.21 2.41

Kimberly-Clark Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.21 4.73 3.65 3.39 2.41

Competitive Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kimberly-Clark Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Kimberly-Clark Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=6.16419048/121.51+-0.0266
=2.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kimberly-Clark  (NYSE:KMB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Kimberly-Clark Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kimberly-Clark's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kimberly-Clark (Kimberly-Clark) Business Description

Address
P.O. Box 619100, Dallas, TX, USA, 75261-9100
With more than half of sales from personal care and another third from tissue products, Kimberly-Clark sits as a leading manufacturer in the tissue and hygiene realm. Its brand mix includes Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, and Cottonelle. The firm also operates K-C Professional, which partners with businesses to provide safety and sanitary products for the workplace. Kimberly-Clark generates just over of half its sales in North America and more than 10% in Europe, with the rest primarily concentrated in Asia and Latin America.
Executives
Jeffrey P. Melucci officer: SVP - General Counsel 351 PHELPS DRIVE, IRVING TX 75038
Zackery A Hicks officer: Chief Digital & Technology Off C/O SIGNET JEWELERS LIMITED, 375 GHENT ROAD, AKRON OH 44333
Deeptha Khanna director PO BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Sandra R Karrmann officer: Chief Human Resources Officer P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Doug Cunningham officer: President, EMEA PO BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Andrew Drexler officer: Vice President and Controller C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC., 300 SIXTH AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Michael D. Hsu officer: Group Pres., NACP C/O KRAFT FOODS GROUP, INC., THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60048
Tristram Wilkinson officer: President, EMEA P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Tamera Fenske officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer PO BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Sylvia M Mathews director P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Nelson Urdaneta officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Todd Maclin director P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Ehab Abou-oaf officer: President KCP PO BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261
Deirdre Mahlan director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Jaime A Ramirez director 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053

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