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ICF International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 10.63% (As of Sep. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. ICF International's forward rate of return for was 10.63%.

The historical rank and industry rank for ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:ICFI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.84   Med: 11.24   Max: 16.14
Current: 10.04

4.84
16.14

During the past 13 years, ICF International's highest Forward Rate of Return was 16.14. The lowest was 4.84. And the median was 11.24.

NAS:ICFI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked higher than
52% of the 660 Companies
in the Business Services industry.

( Industry Median: 8.89 vs. NAS:ICFI: 10.04 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


ICF International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ICF International Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.24 15.17 13.81 10.45 10.40

ICF International Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.47 10.40 9.30 9.90 10.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

ICF International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



ICF International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

ICF International's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.81580952/89.29+0.0524
=10.63 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ICF International  (NAS:ICFI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


ICF International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ICF International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ICF International Business Description

ICF International logo
Industry
Industrials » Business Services NAICS : 541611 SIC : 8742
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9300 Lee Highway, Fairfax, VA, USA, 22031
ICF International Inc provides professional services and technology-based solutions to government and commercial clients, including management, marketing, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services. Its services primarily support clients that operate in four key markets that include Energy, Environment, and Infrastructure, Health, Education, and Social Programs, Safety and Security and Consumer and Financial. The Company's major clients are United States federal government departments and agencies.
Executives
Crouther Marilyn C director 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Terreri Donald J officer: VP & Principal Acct. Officer 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Kesavan Sudhakar director, officer: Executive Chairman ICF INTERNATIONAL, INC. 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Van Handel Michael J director 5301 NORTH IRONWOOD ROAD MILWAUKEE WI 53217
Grise Cheryl W director NORTHEAST UTILITIES 107 SELDEN STREET BERLIN CT 06037
Datar Srikant M. director ICF INTERNATIONAL, INC. 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Schulte Peter M director 900 THIRD AVENUE 33RD FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022-4775
Mehl Randall director 8620 N DEAN CIR RIVER HILLS WI 53217
Wasson John director, officer: CEO & President ICF INTERNATIONAL, INC. 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Golinvaux Theresa D officer: SVP & Principal Acct. Officer 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 20131
Morgan James C M officer: Chief of Business Operations 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Ostria Sergio J officer: Executive Vice President 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Welsh Bettina Garcia officer: Chief Financial Officer 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Taylor Richard Dewayne officer: SVP & Principal Acct. Officer 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031
Glover Ellen officer: Executive Vice President ICF INTERNATIONAL, INC. 9300 LEE HIGHWAY FAIRFAX VA 22031

ICF International Headlines

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