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Kirkland's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 0.00% (As of Jul. 2021)
View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Kirkland's's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:KIRK' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -13.73   Med: 6.13   Max: 28.28
Current: -10.45

-13.73
28.28

During the past 13 years, Kirkland's's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.28. The lowest was -13.73. And the median was 6.13.

NAS:KIRK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 102 Companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.

( Industry Median: 13.53 vs. NAS:KIRK: -10.45 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Kirkland's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kirkland's Annual Data
Trend Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.65 13.07 6.10 - -

Kirkland's Quarterly Data
Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Kirkland's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Kirkland's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.03942857/19.46+-0.1028
=-10.48 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirkland's  (NAS:KIRK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Kirkland's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kirkland's's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kirkland's Business Description

Kirkland's logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical NAICS : 442299 SIC : 5999
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5310 Maryland Way, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Kirkland's Inc is a specialty retailer of home decor and gifts in the United States. Its stores provide various merchandise, including holiday decor, framed arts, furniture, ornamental wall decor, fragrance and accessories, mirrors, lamps, decorative accessories, textiles, housewares, gifts, artificial floral products, frames, clocks, and outdoor living items. Its stores also offer an assortment of holiday merchandise in seasonal periods, as well as items that are suitable for gift-giving.
Executives
Martin Jeffrey T. officer: Sr. VP of Omni-Channel Retail 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Collins Steven J director 29 VINTON STREET, #5 BOSTON MA 02127
Woodward Steven C director, officer: President and CEO 550 BAILEY AVENUE FORT WORTH TX 76107
Strain Nicole Allyson officer: Chief Financial Officer 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Pleas Charles Iii director 123 S. FRONT STREET DEPT. 8074 MEMPHIS TN 38103
Lanigan Susan S director 100 MISSION RIDGE GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Cairnes Mike officer: President and COO 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Sandfort Gregory A director TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY 5401 VIRGINIA WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Spain Murray director C/O B&M LEASING 283 2ND STREET PIKE SUITE 110 SOUTHAMPTON PA 18966
Parks Ralph T director 451 INDUSTRIAL LANE BIRMINGHAM AL 35211
Global Private Equity Ii Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent Direct Investment Program Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent Partners Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent International Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent International Corp/ma other: Member of Group > 10% 800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300 BOSTON MA 02199

Kirkland's Headlines

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