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PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 22.95% (As of Mar. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PayPal Holdings's forward rate of return for was 22.95%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PYPL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 19.65   Med: 21.22   Max: 24.34
Current: 24.34

During the past 10 years, PayPal Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.34. The lowest was 19.65. And the median was 21.22.

PYPL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
87.12% of 365 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 3.26 vs PYPL: 24.34

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PayPal Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 20.87 21.22 21.79

PayPal Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.24 21.06 21.24 21.79 22.95

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.41733333/115.65+0.2
=22.95 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PayPal Holdings  (NAS:PYPL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PayPal Holdings Business Description

PayPal Holdings logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 522390 SIC : 7389
Address
2211 North First Street, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 426 million active accounts at the end of 2021, including 34 million merchant accounts. The company also owns Xoom, an international money transfer business, and Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
Executives
Karbowski Jeffrey William officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 2211 N 1ST ST SAN JOSE CA 95131
Schulman Daniel H director, officer: President and CEO C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Moffett David M director C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Yeary Frank D director C/O INTEL CORPORATION 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD., RN4-151 SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Auerbach Jonathan officer: EVP, Chief Strategy & Growth O C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Britto Mark officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Alford Peggy officer: EVP, Global Sales 435 TASSO STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Anderson Aaron officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Messemer Deborah M. director C/O ALLOGENE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 210 EAST GRAND AVENUE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Adkins Rodney C director IBM CORPORATION 294 ROUTE 100 SOMERS NY 10589
Sarnoff Ann director C/O HSN, INC. 1 HSN DRIVE SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33729
Donahoe John J director C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Dorman David W director CVS HEALTH. ONE CVS DRIVE WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Christodoro Jonathan director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P. 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Mcgovern Gail J director ONE ENERGY PLAZA., 688WCB DETROIT MI 48226

PayPal Holdings Headlines

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