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Sirius XM Holdings (Sirius XM Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 17.43% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sirius XM Holdings's forward rate of return for was 17.43%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SIRI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.23   Med: 20.19   Max: 25.14
Current: 22.69

During the past 13 years, Sirius XM Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.14. The lowest was 1.23. And the median was 20.19.

SIRI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
78.7% of 601 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 8.66 vs SIRI: 22.69

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sirius XM Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sirius XM Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.69 14.73 7.37 13.13 17.43

Sirius XM Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.13 16.82 16.75 17.83 17.43

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sirius XM Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Sirius XM Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.36495238/5.47+0.1076
=17.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sirius XM Holdings  (NAS:SIRI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sirius XM Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sirius XM Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sirius XM Holdings (Sirius XM Holdings) Business Description

Address
1221 Avenue of the Americas, 35th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10020
Sirius XM Holdings is composed of two businesses: SiriusXM and Pandora. SiriusXM transmits music, talk shows, sports, and news via its two satellite radio networks, primarily to consumers in vehicles who pay a subscription fee. The firm's radios come preinstalled on a wide range of light vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. The firm acquired Pandora Media in February 2019 via an all-stock transaction. Pandora is a streaming music platform that offers an ad-supported radio option and a paid on-demand service as well as a robust and growing podcast library. Liberty Media owns 81% of Sirius XM, traded through its Liberty Sirius XM Group tracking stock.
Executives
Joseph A Inzerillo officer: Chief Product & Tech. Officer 173 WATER STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11201
David Adam Blau director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112-7009
Sean S Sullivan officer: EVP and CFO 11 PENN PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jonelle Procope director 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Stephen Cook officer: EVP, Sales and Automotive
Kristina Salen director 1601 CLOVERFIELD BLVD., SUITE 620, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Dara F Altman officer: EVP & Chief Admin. Officer SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Joan Lordi Amble director AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY, 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Carl E Vogel director C/O SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
James E Meyer officer: President, Sales & Operations 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD., 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Vanessa Ames Wittman director C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Scott Andrew Greenstein officer: Pres., Entertainment & Sports SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
James Mooney director 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
David J Frear officer: EVP and CFO 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
James Arthur Cady officer: EVP, Product and Operations 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020