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China Green Agriculture Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 0.00% (As of Sep. 2021)
View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. China Green Agriculture's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:CGA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -31.67   Med: 60.79   Max: 160.38
Current: 23.07

-31.67
160.38

During the past 13 years, China Green Agriculture's highest Forward Rate of Return was 160.38. The lowest was -31.67. And the median was 60.79.

NYSE:CGA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked higher than
89% of the 175 Companies
in the Agriculture industry.

( Industry Median: 10.20 vs. NYSE:CGA: 23.07 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


China Green Agriculture Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Green Agriculture Annual Data
Trend Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.42 76.09 93.67 - -

China Green Agriculture Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

China Green Agriculture Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



China Green Agriculture Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.60895238/9.08+-0.3054
=31.23 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Green Agriculture  (NYSE:CGA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


China Green Agriculture Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Green Agriculture's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Green Agriculture Business Description

China Green Agriculture logo
Industry
Basic Materials » Agriculture NAICS : 325320 SIC : 2879
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
South Taibai Road, 3rd Floor, Borough A, Block A. No. 181, Shaanxi Province, Xi’an, CHN, 710065
China Green Agriculture Inc is engaged in the business of fertilizer and agricultural products. It involves the research, development, production, distribution, and sale of humic acid-based compound fertilizer, blended fertilizer, organic compound fertilizer, slow-release fertilizers, concentrated water-soluble fertilizers, and mixed organic-inorganic compound fertilizer and the development, production, and distribution of agricultural products, such as top-grade fruits, vegetables, flowers and colored seedlings in China. The company operates in four segments: Fertilizer products (Jinong), Fertilizer products (Gufeng), agricultural products (Yuxing), and Sales VIEs(variable interest entities). All of its operations are conducted in China.
Executives
Shi Yiru director 1217 S CATALINA AVENUE REDONDO BEACH CA 90277
Shen Jianlei director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Fan Ale director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Zhang Yizhao director 45 OLD MILLSTONE DRIVE, NIT 6 EAST WINDSOR NJ 08520
Fields Robert B director 215 EAST 68TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10021
Raeburn Barry L director C/O FUSHI INTERNATIONAL INC. 1 SHUANGQIANG ROAD, JINZHOU DALIAN F4 116100
To Yinshing David 10 percent owner 45 OLD MILLSTONE DR, UNIT 6 EAST WINDSOR NJ 08520
Schwartz Sanford other: Former Officer & 10% Owner 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE STE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
Friess Michael other: Former Officer & 10% Owner 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE STE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
Venette John H director, officer: CFO & Treasurer 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE SUITE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
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