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Essex Property Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 6.45% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Essex Property Trust's forward rate of return for was 6.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ESS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.15   Med: 11.26   Max: 14.56
Current: 6.17

During the past 13 years, Essex Property Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.56. The lowest was 2.15. And the median was 11.26.

ESS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
51.89% of 557 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 5.81 vs ESS: 6.17

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Essex Property Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Essex Property Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.13 14.20 11.06 10.95 5.79

Essex Property Trust Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.84 6.82 5.79 5.46 6.45

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Essex Property Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Essex Property Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=11.5727619/261.51+0.0202
=6.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Essex Property Trust  (NYSE:ESS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Essex Property Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Essex Property Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Essex Property Trust Business Description

Essex Property Trust logo
Industry
Address
1100 Park Place, Suite 200, San Mateo, CA, USA, 94403
Essex Property Trust owns a portfolio of 253 apartment communities with over 62,000 units and is developing three additional properties with 571 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties on the West Coast in the urban and suburban submarkets of Southern California, Northern California, and Seattle.
Executives
Pak Barbara officer: Executive Vice President & CFO C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, INC. 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Hawthorne Maria R director 701 WESTERN AVENUE GLENDALE CA 91201
Berry Adam W officer: Co-Chief Investment Officer C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, INC. 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Kasaris Mary director C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, INC. 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Johnson Amal M director C/O MELLANOX TECHNOLOGIES, INC. 350 OAKMEAD PARKWAY, SUITE 100 SUNNYVALE CA 94085
Farias John officer: Group Vice President and CAO C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, INC 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Kleiman Angela L. officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 1100 PARK PLACE SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Robinson Thomas E director 309 GARRISON FOREST ROAD OWNINGS MILLS MD 21117
Lyons Irving F Iii director C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, INC. 925 E. MEADOW DRIVE PALO ALTO CA 94303
Sullivan Thomas P. director 525 MARKET STREET, 4TH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Scordelis Byron A director
Zinngrabe Claude J. Jr. director 925 EAST MEADOW DRIVE PALO ALTO CA 94303
Sears Janice L. director 1100 PARK PLACE SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Alexander Erik J. officer: Senior Vice President 925 EAST MEADOW DRIVE PALO ALTO CA 94303
Burkart John F. officer: Executive Vice President C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST INC. 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200 SAN MATEO CA 94403

Essex Property Trust Headlines

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