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Invesco Mortgage Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 20.85% (As of Jun. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Invesco Mortgage Capital's forward rate of return for was 20.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:IVR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.65   Med: 19.37   Max: 130.35
Current: 32.8

11.65
130.35

During the past 12 years, Invesco Mortgage Capital's highest Forward Rate of Return was 130.35. The lowest was 11.65. And the median was 19.37.

NYSE:IVR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 129 Companies
in the REITs industry.

( Industry Median: -2.16 vs. NYSE:IVR: 32.80 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Invesco Mortgage Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.74 14.45 16.27 13.00 42.04

Invesco Mortgage Capital Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.07 66.44 42.04 25.50 20.85

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Invesco Mortgage Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Invesco Mortgage Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=2.02438095/3.9+-0.3106
=20.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Invesco Mortgage Capital  (NYSE:IVR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Invesco Mortgage Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Invesco Mortgage Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Invesco Mortgage Capital Business Description

Invesco Mortgage Capital logo
Industry
Real Estate » REITs NAICS : 531190 SIC : 6798
Address
1555 Peachtree Street, N.E., Suite 1800, Two Peachtree Pointe, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc is an REIT that invests, finances, and manages residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans. The company's portfolio consists of residential mortgage-backed securities for which a U.S. government agency or a federally chartered corporation guarantees payment of principal and interest, or Agency RMBS; residential mortgage-backed securities that are not issued or guaranteed by an agency, or nonagency RMBS; commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS; and residential and commercial mortgage loans. The asset manager for the company is Invesco Advisers, a subsidiary of Invesco.
Executives
Hardin Edward J director 5430 LBJ FREEWAY SUIT 1700 DALLAS TX 75240
Lockhart Dennis P director 100 GOLF ROAD GOLF IL 60029
Handlon Carolyn B director 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Day John director 1520 OLD TROLLEY ROAD SUMMERVILLE SC 29485
Lientz James R Jr director GEORGIA POSER CO BIN 10240 241 RALPH MCGILL BLVD ATLANTA GA 30308
Starr Loren M director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: STARR LOREN M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Lyle David B officer: Chief Operating Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Collins Kevin M officer: President 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Clemente Mario other: Officer of Manager 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Norris Brian officer: CIO 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Phegley Richard Lee Jr. officer: Chief Financial Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Anzalone John officer: CEO INVESCO LTD. 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE ATLANTA GA 30309
Perlis Roseann officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Morris Sheri officer: Chief Investment Officer INVESCO LTD., 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 100 ATLANTA GA 30309
Marshall Jason officer: Chief Investment Officer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309

Invesco Mortgage Capital Headlines

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