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Medtronic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 1.53% (As of Apr. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Medtronic's forward rate of return for was 1.53%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MDT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.19   Med: 8.85   Max: 19.75
Current: 1.99

During the past 13 years, Medtronic's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.75. The lowest was -0.19. And the median was 8.85.

MDT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
77.97% of 295 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 12.93 vs MDT: 1.99

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Medtronic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Medtronic Annual Data
Trend Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.06 11.66 9.31 0.30 1.53

Medtronic Quarterly Data
Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.30 -0.12 0.27 1.26 1.53

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Medtronic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Medtronic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return of Apr. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.90761905/104.36+-0.0221
=1.53 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Medtronic  (NYSE:MDT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Medtronic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Medtronic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Medtronic Business Description

Medtronic logo
Address
Lower Hatch Street, 20 On Hatch, Dublin, IRL, 2
One of the largest medical device companies, Medtronic develops and manufactures therapeutic medical devices for chronic diseases. Its portfolio includes pacemakers, defibrillators, heart valves, stents, insulin pumps, spinal fixation devices, neurovascular products, advanced energy, and surgical tools. The company markets its products to healthcare institutions and physicians in the United States and overseas. Foreign sales account for almost 50% of the company's total sales.
Executives
Fong Ivan K officer: EVP GENERAL COUNSEL & SECR 3M CENTER ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Kirk Jennifer M officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5 GREENWAY PLAZA SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Lofton Kevin E director GILEAD SCIENCES, INC. 333 LAKESIDE DRIVE FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Wall Brett A. officer: EVP & Group Pres Restora Thera 710 MEDTRONIC PARKWAY LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Salmon Sean officer: EVP & Group President Diabetes MEDTRONIC PLC, 710 MEDTRONIC PARKWAY LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Goldsmith Andrea Jo director 1220 AUGUSTA DRIVE SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77057
Liddicoat John R officer: EVP & President of Americas MEDTRONIC PLC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
White Robert John officer: EVP & President MITG MEDTRONIC PLC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Parkhill Karen L officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1717 MAIN STREET, MC 6402 DALLAS TX 75201
Reddy Preetha director APOLLO HOSPITALS 21 GREAMS LN, OFF GREAMS RD CHENNAI K7 600006
Ellis Gary Lee officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer THE TORO COMPANY 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Hanson Bryan C officer: EVP AND PRESIDENT, COVIDIEN ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS 345 E. MAIN STREET WARSAW IN 46580
Hakami Hooman officer: EVP & Group President Diabetes 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MSLC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Oconnell Christopher J officer: See Remarks MEDTRONIC, INC. 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Lenehan James T director C/O MEDTRONIC INC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432

Medtronic Headlines

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