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O-I Glass (O-I Glass) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 23.43% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. O-I Glass's forward rate of return for was 23.43%.

The historical rank and industry rank for O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

OI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.08   Med: 10.27   Max: 29.76
Current: 23.75

During the past 13 years, O-I Glass's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.76. The lowest was -14.08. And the median was 10.27.

OI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
89.26% of 298 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 8.8 vs OI: 23.75

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


O-I Glass Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 9.65 [6] => 2.88 [7] => 8.18 [8] => 15.04 [9] => 23.43 )
O-I Glass Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.65 2.88 8.18 15.04 23.43

O-I Glass Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.04 12.96 19.89 23.52 23.43

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


O-I Glass Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



O-I Glass Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.83580952/16.38+0.1833
=23.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


O-I Glass  (NYSE:OI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


O-I Glass Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of O-I Glass's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


O-I Glass (O-I Glass) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Michael Owens Way, Perrysburg, OH, USA, 43551
O-I Glass is the world's largest manufacturer of glass bottles; 70% of its revenue comes from outside the United States. O-I has a market-leading position in key markets such as Europe, North America, and Brazil, among others. Beer is the primary end market for O-I's glass bottles, which are also used for wine, soda, spirits, condiments, and food. In the coming years, O-I is looking to maintain or expand its dominant positions in Europe, North America, and South America.
Executives
Andres Alberto Lopez officer: VP, President of Latin America ONE MICHAEL OWENS WAY, PERRYSBURG OH 43551
Vitaliano Torno officer: President, O-I Europe O-I EUROPE SARL, EU HQ MEX EN FARAZ 5, VUFFLENS-LA-VILLE V8 1302
Arnaud Aujouannet officer: SVP & Chief Sales & Marketing ONE MICHAEL OWENS WAY, PLAZA ONE, PERRYSBURG OH 43551
Clark David V Ii director C/O O-I GLASS, INC., ONE MICHAEL OWENS WAY, PLAZA 1, PERRYSBURG OH 43551
Darrow A Abrahams officer: SVP, GC & Corporate Secretary ONE MICHAEL OWENS WAY, PERRYSBURG OH 43551
Mary Beth Wilkinson officer: Senior VP, GC & Secretary 2350 GREEN ROAD, SUITE 100, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Samuel R. Chapin director 940 WINTER STREET, C/O PERKINELMER, WALTHAM MA 02451
Catherine I Slater director C/O WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY, 220 OCCIDENTAL AVENUE SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98104
Peter S Hellman director ONE BAXTER PARKWAY, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Carol A Dudley-williams director 912 W. SUGNET RD., MIDLAND MI 48640
John H Walker director 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Timothy Connors officer: President, O-I Asia Pacific 36 BURWOOD ROAD, HAWTHORN, VIC C3 3195
Moyano Giancarlo Currarino officer: SVP, Chief Tech & SC Officer ONE MICHAEL OWENS WAY, PLAZA ONE, PERRYSBURG OH 43551
John Humphrey director ENPRO INDUSTRIES, INC., 5605 CARNEGIE BLVD., SUITE 500, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Joseph D Rupp director QUANEX BUILDING PRODUCTS CORPORATION, 1800 W LOOP SOUTH, SUITE 1500, HOUSTON TX 77027