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Penske Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 19.64% (As of Jun. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Penske Automotive Group's forward rate of return for was 19.64%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:PAG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.33   Med: 17.56   Max: 24.56
Current: 16.62

1.33
24.56

During the past 13 years, Penske Automotive Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.56. The lowest was 1.33. And the median was 17.56.

NYSE:PAG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
63% of the 52 Companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.

( Industry Median: 7.65 vs. NYSE:PAG: 16.62 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Penske Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Penske Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.42 19.48 18.89 16.11 15.86

Penske Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.75 16.40 15.86 15.15 19.64

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Penske Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Penske Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=6.79580952/75.49+0.1064
=19.64 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Penske Automotive Group  (NYSE:PAG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Penske Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Penske Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Penske Automotive Group Business Description

Penske Automotive Group logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Vehicles & Parts NAICS : 441110 SIC : 5511
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, USA, 48302-0954
Penske Automotive Group operates in 22 U.S. states and overseas. It has 143 U.S. light-vehicle franchises including in Puerto Rico as well as 161 franchises overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom. The company is the second- largest U.S.-based dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 35 brands, with 93% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other services, in addition to new and used vehicles, are parts and repair and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 35 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and Western Star brands, and Penske owns 19 CarShop used-vehicle stores in the U.S. and U.K. The company is based in Michigan and was called United Auto Group before changing its name in 2007.
Executives
Carlson John D. Jr. officer: EVP & CFO 2555 TELEGRAPH RD. BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Barr John director 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
Spradlin Shane M. officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. 2555 TELEGRAPH RD. BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Penske Roger S director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chair & CEO 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
Denker Claude H Iii officer: EVP - Human Resources 2555 TELEGRAPH RD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Kurnick Robert H Jr director, officer: President 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302-0954
Penske Gregory W director 3534 NORTH PECK ROAD EL MONTE CA 91731
Pierce Sandra E. director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD. BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Duerheimer Wolfgang director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Penske Roger S Jr director 2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Mcwaters Kimberly J director 20410 NORTH 19TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85027
Smith Greg C director FORD MOTOR COMPANY 21175 OAKWOOD BLVD DEARBORN MI 48124
Davis Lisa Ann director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Eisenson Michael R director C/O CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS 600 ATLANTIC AV 28TH FL BOSTON MA 02210
Thompson H Brian director 1950 OLD GALLOWS ROAD SUITE 201 VIENNA VA 22182

Penske Automotive Group Headlines

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