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Thor Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 26.07% (As of Apr. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Thor Industries's forward rate of return for was 26.07%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

THO' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.34   Med: 22.77   Max: 29.25
Current: 24.47

During the past 13 years, Thor Industries's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.25. The lowest was 1.34. And the median was 22.77.

THO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
93.66% of 915 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 2.35 vs THO: 24.47

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Thor Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Thor Industries Annual Data
Trend Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.82 25.08 25.39 11.11 11.64

Thor Industries Quarterly Data
Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.54 11.64 14.28 18.86 26.07

Competitive Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Thor Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Thor Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return of Apr. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=8.0407619/76.55+0.1557
=26.07 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Thor Industries  (NYSE:THO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Thor Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Thor Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Thor Industries Business Description

Thor Industries logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 East Beardsley Avenue, Elkhart, IN, USA, 46514-3305
Thor Industries Inc is an American manufacturer of recreational vehicles through its subsidiaries. The company reports through three segments: North American towable recreational vehicles, North American motorized recreational vehicles, and European recreational vehicles. The North American towable RV business segments operations by brand: Airstream, Heartland, Jayco, Keystone, and KZ. North American motorized RV does the same through the Airstream, Jayco, and Thor Motor Coach brands. Thor's European RV business consists solely of the Erwin Hymer Group, which manufactures both towable and recreational vehicles in Europe. EHG's operations include miscellaneous RV-related products and services. Across all segments, the firm distributes its RVs to independent dealers.
Executives
Gasper Trevor Q. officer: VP, General Counsel and Sec. 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE. ELKHART IN 46514
Hennington Christina director 1000 NICOLLET MALL MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Hurd Laurel director C/O NEWELL BRANDS INC. 6655 PEACHTREE DUNWOODY ROAD ATLANTA GA 30328
Kelley William J. Jr director USG CORPORATION 550 WEST ADAMS STREET CHICAGO IL 60661
Hjelmaker Josef officer: Chief Innovation Officer C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC. 601 E. BEARDSLEY AVE. ELKHART IN 46514-3305
James Troy officer: SVP International Operations C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC. 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVENUE ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Huntington Amelia director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC. 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE. ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Klein Christopher J director 520 LAKE COOK ROAD DEERFIELD IL 60015
Ziemer James L director C/O HARLEY DAVIDSON 3700 W. JUNEAU AVE MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Siegel Alan director C/O THE WET SEAL, INC. 26972 BURBANK FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Kosowsky J Allen director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC. 419 WEST PIKE STREET JACKSON CENTER OH 45334-0629
Suwinski Jan director 9450 SEWARD RD C/O OHIO CASUALTY GROUP FAIRFIELD OH 45014
Zuhl Colleen A officer: VP & Chief Financial Officer PO BOX 3300 ELKHART IN 46515
Woelfer W. Todd officer: Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Sec. PO BOX 3300 ELKHART IN 46515
Graves Andrew E director BRUNSWICK CORPORATION 1 N FIELD COURT LAKE FOREST IL 60045

Thor Industries Headlines

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