GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayi AS (OTCPK:AEBZY) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS (Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 26.41% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's forward rate of return for was 26.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AEBZY' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -18.24   Med: 16.27   Max: 40.32
Current: 25.25

During the past 13 years, Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's highest Forward Rate of Return was 40.32. The lowest was -18.24. And the median was 16.27.

AEBZY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
93.71% of 159 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 8.5 vs AEBZY: 25.25

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.27 31.11 33.12 28.15 26.41

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.15 27.79 30.87 28.82 26.41

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.13542857/0.949+0.2
=34.27 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS  (OTCPK:AEBZY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

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Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS (Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Fatih Sultan Mehmet Mah. Balkan Cad. No:58, Buyaka E Blok Tepeüstü, Istanbul, TUR, 34771
Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayi AS produces and distributes beer, sparkling, and still beverages under a number of different brand names. It has joint control over Coca-Cola Icecek, which has the rights to sell Coca-Cola products in Turkey, Pakistan, Central Asia, and the Middle East. Sparkling and still beverages account for more than half of the company's total revenue. Beer sales account for the remaining revenue, with beer sales outside of Turkey (mainly in Russia, Kazakhstan, Georgia, and Moldova) collectively providing more revenue than beer sales in Turkey. The company has breweries, bottling plants, and other production facilities in more than a dozen countries, primarily Turkey and Russia.

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS (Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Maltnayi AS) Headlines