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Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Sep. 2022)


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What is Party City Holdco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Party City Holdco's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PRTYQ's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 14.46
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Party City Holdco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Party City Holdco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Party City Holdco Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.96 42.44 - -

Party City Holdco Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Party City Holdco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.32571429/1.58+-0.0145
=19.16 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Party City Holdco  (OTCPK:PRTYQ) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Party City Holdco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Party City Holdco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
80 Grasslands Road, Elmsford, NY, USA, 10523
Party City Holdco Inc is a party goods retailer in North America that operates owned and franchised locations in the us, Canada, and Puerto Rico. Party City also sells internationally in countries like the UK, France, Germany, and Australia, among others. The company has two primary reporting segments: retail and wholesale. The retail operations sell through Anagram, Amscan, Designware, Costumes USA, and other party suppliers, such as Party City, Halloween City, and PartyCity.com. The wholesale segment sells party goods such as paper and plastic tableware, accessories and novelties, balloons, stationery, and gift items for all occasions. These products are sold by franchise stores, mass merchants, independent card and gift shops, dollar stores, and other retailers and global distributors.
Executives
Clifford Sosin 10 percent owner 8 WRIGHT STREET, 1ST FL, WESTPORT CT 06880
John Capela officer: See Remarks 779 HIGHLAND AVENUE, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Peter Royer Smith officer: Chief Operations Officer 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30326
De Mesa Graziano Cheryl officer: Chief Accounting Officer 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Steven J Collins director 29 VINTON STREET, #5, BOSTON MA 02127
William S. Creekmuir director SIX CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 3300-A, ATLANTA GA 30328
John Frascotti director C/O HASBRO, INC. 1011 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02862
Shroff Michelle Millstone director C/O PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC., 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
James M Harrison director GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD ST, NEW YORK NY 10004
Reginald Rasch officer: See Remarks 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Sean Thompson officer: See Remarks 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Sarah Dodds-brown director 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Jennifer Fleiss director 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Joel Alsfine director 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Norman S Matthews director 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Headlines

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