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Sibanye Stillwater (Sibanye Stillwater) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 25.26% (As of Dec. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sibanye Stillwater's forward rate of return for was 25.26%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SBSW' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.57   Med: 24.2   Max: 31.97
Current: 29.26

During the past 13 years, Sibanye Stillwater's highest Forward Rate of Return was 31.97. The lowest was -14.57. And the median was 24.20.

SBSW's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
90.8% of 413 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 12.06 vs SBSW: 29.26

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sibanye Stillwater Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sibanye Stillwater Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.10 -16.80 22.18 24.89 25.26

Sibanye Stillwater Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 24.89 - 25.26 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sibanye Stillwater Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Sibanye Stillwater Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.60983333/10.66+0.2
=25.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sibanye Stillwater  (NYSE:SBSW) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sibanye Stillwater Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sibanye Stillwater's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sibanye Stillwater (Sibanye Stillwater) Business Description

Address
Cnr 14th Avenue and Hendrik Potgieter Road, Bridgeview House, Building 11, Ground Floor, Lakeview Avenue, Constantia Office Park, Weltevreden Park, Roodepoort, GT, ZAF, 1709
Sibanye Stillwater Ltd is a South Africa-focused mining company. The Group currently owns and operates five underground and surface gold operations in South Africa: the Cooke, DRDGOLD, Driefontein, and Kloof operations in the West Witwatersrand region, and the Beatrix Operation in the southern Free State province. In addition to mining, the company owns and manages extraction and processing facilities at its operations, where gold-bearing ore is treated and beneficiated to produce gold dore. The gold dore is further refined at Rand Refinery into gold bars with a purity of at least 99.5% and is then sold on international markets. Sibanye holds a 44% interest in Rand Refinery, global refiners of gold, and the largest in Africa. Rand Refinery markets gold to customers around the world.