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US Foods Holding (US Foods Holding) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 8.51% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. US Foods Holding's forward rate of return for was 8.51%.

The historical rank and industry rank for US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

USFD' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.15   Med: -1.91   Max: 29.58
Current: 8.08

During the past 12 years, US Foods Holding's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.58. The lowest was -5.15. And the median was -1.91.

USFD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
73.36% of 229 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 16.45 vs USFD: 8.08

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


US Foods Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

US Foods Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.37 -1.64 -4.64 -2.22 8.51

US Foods Holding Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.22 -0.43 1.90 5.76 8.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


US Foods Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



US Foods Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.86780952/45.41+0.044
=8.51 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


US Foods Holding  (NYSE:USFD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


US Foods Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of US Foods Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


US Foods Holding (US Foods Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9399 West Higgins Road, Suite 100, Rosemont, IL, USA, 60018
us Foods is the second-largest U.S. food service distributor behind Sysco, holding 11% market share of the highly fragmented food service distribution industry. us Foods distributes more than 400,000 food and nonfood products to the healthcare and hospitality industries (collectively 22% of 2021 sales), restaurants (61%), and education, government facilities, and grocers (17%). In addition to its delivery business, the firm has 80 cash-and- carry stores under the Chef'Store banner. After Sysco's attempt to purchase us Foods failed to gain federal approval in 2015, us Foods entered the public market via an initial public offering.
Executives
Scott D. Ferguson director 250 WEST 55TH STREET, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Poe David L Jr officer: EVP, Chief Merchant 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Martha Ha officer: EVP, General Counsel 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
James D Sturgell officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Randy J Taylor officer: EVP, Field Operations 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Steven Guberman officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Andrew E. Iacobucci officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., ROSEMONT IL 60018
Kkr Group Co. Inc. 10 percent owner 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kkr Fresh Holdings L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kkr Group Partnership L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sunil Gupta director C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W HIGGINS RD, SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Jay Kvasnicka officer: See Remarks C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
David E Flitman officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O NALCO COMPANY, 1601 WEST DIEHL ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Works James David Jr officer: EVP & CHRO 4001 RODNEY PARHAM RD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72212
Dirk J. Locascio officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., ROSEMONT IL 60018