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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc  (NYSE:CMG) Shiller PE Ratio: 56.42 (As of Today)

As of today, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's current share price is $472.76. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2018 was $8.38. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 56.42.

NYSE:CMG' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 32.3   Max: 128.4
Current: 56.42

32.3
128.4

During the past years, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 128.40. The lowest was 32.30. And the median was 58.29.

NYSE:CMG's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked lower than
69% of the 78 Companies
in the Global industry.

( Industry Median: 30.20 vs. NYSE:CMG: 56.42 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2018 was $1.360. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $8.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2018.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Annual Data

Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 120.58 66.05 51.47 36.52

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Quarterly Data

Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.36 36.52 39.67 51.91 54.25

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Calculation

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=472.76/8.38
=56.42

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec17 is calculated as:

For example, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2018 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Sep. 2018 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2018)
=1.36/252.439*252.439
=1.360

Current CPI (Sep. 2018) = 252.439.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Quarterly Data

per_share_eps CPI Adj_EPS
200812 0.520 210.228 0.624
200903 0.780 212.709 0.926
200906 1.100 215.693 1.287
200909 1.080 215.969 1.262
200912 0.990 215.949 1.157
201003 1.190 217.631 1.380
201006 1.460 217.965 1.691
201009 1.520 218.439 1.757
201012 1.460 219.179 1.682
201103 1.460 223.467 1.649
201106 1.590 225.722 1.778
201109 1.900 226.889 2.114
201112 1.800 225.672 2.013
201203 1.970 229.392 2.168
201206 2.560 229.478 2.816
201209 2.270 231.407 2.476
201212 1.950 229.601 2.144
201303 2.450 232.773 2.657
201306 2.820 233.504 3.049
201309 2.660 234.149 2.868
201312 2.540 233.049 2.751
201403 2.640 236.293 2.820
201406 3.500 238.343 3.707
201409 4.150 238.031 4.401
201412 3.840 234.812 4.128
201503 3.880 236.119 4.148
201506 4.450 238.638 4.707
201509 4.590 237.945 4.870
201512 2.180 236.525 2.327
201603 -0.880 238.132 -0.933
201606 0.870 241.018 0.911
201609 0.270 241.428 0.282
201612 0.540 241.432 0.565
201703 1.600 243.801 1.657
201706 2.320 244.955 2.391
201709 0.690 246.819 0.706
201712 1.550 246.524 1.587
201803 2.130 249.554 2.155
201806 1.680 251.989 1.683
201809 1.360 252.439 1.360

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our .


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


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