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Guess? (Guess?) Shiller PE Ratio

: 23.93 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-19), Guess?'s current share price is $25.60. Guess?'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.07. Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio for today is 23.93.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

GES' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.44   Med: 13.79   Max: 32.48
Current: 23.93

During the past years, Guess?'s highest Shiller PE Ratio was 32.48. The lowest was 4.44. And the median was 13.79.

GES's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
63.62% of 558 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 16.94 vs GES: 23.93

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Guess?'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.790. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $1.07 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guess? Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Shiller PE Ratio
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.61 25.05 25.18 24.33 20.88

Guess? Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.33 20.35 22.39 21.95 20.88

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=25.60/1.07
=23.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guess?'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Guess?'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=1.79/106.4611*106.4611
=1.790

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 106.4611.

Guess? Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201404 -0.030 101.294 -0.032
201407 0.260 101.137 0.274
201410 0.240 101.245 0.252
201501 0.630 100.270 0.669
201504 0.040 100.157 0.043
201507 0.210 99.846 0.224
201510 0.150 99.868 0.160
201601 0.570 99.000 0.613
201604 -0.300 99.804 -0.320
201607 0.380 99.644 0.406
201610 0.110 99.656 0.118
201701 0.080 99.346 0.086
201704 -0.260 100.241 -0.276
201707 0.180 99.972 0.192
201710 -0.040 100.314 -0.042
201801 0.010 100.081 0.011
201804 -0.270 101.046 -0.284
201807 0.310 101.202 0.326
201810 -0.170 101.425 -0.178
201901 0.280 100.642 0.296
201904 -0.270 101.762 -0.282
201907 0.350 101.517 0.367
201910 0.180 101.168 0.189
202001 1.180 100.845 1.246
202004 -2.400 100.680 -2.538
202007 -0.310 100.583 -0.328
202010 0.410 100.591 0.434
202101 1.070 100.296 1.136
202104 0.180 101.010 0.190
202107 0.910 101.266 0.957
202110 0.450 101.840 0.470
202201 1.040 101.950 1.086
202204 0.120 103.584 0.123
202207 0.350 104.743 0.356
202210 0.340 104.891 0.345
202301 1.420 105.296 1.436
202304 -0.220 106.241 -0.220
202307 0.590 106.424 0.590
202310 0.820 106.667 0.818
202401 1.790 106.461 1.790

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Guess?  (NYSE:GES) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guess? (Guess?) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Strada Regina 44, Bioggio, CHE, CH-6934
Guess? Inc designs, markets distribute, and licenses contemporary apparel and accessories that reflect European fashion sensibilities under brands including Guess, Marciano, and G by Guess. The company has five reportable segments namely Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and licensing. It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment.
Executives
Paul Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Maurice Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Deborah Weinswig director C/O XCEL BRANDS, INC., 1333 BROADWAY, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Markus Neubrand officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Thomas Jr Barrack director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Fabrice Benarouche officer: SVP Finance and IR, CAO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Anthony Chidoni director C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Dennis R Secor officer: Chief Financial Officer 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Carlos Alberini director, officer: CEO and Director C/O LUCKY BRAND, LLC, 540 SOUTH SANTA FE AVE., LOS ANGELES CA 90013
Alex Yemenidjian director, other: Chairman of the Board C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Cynthia R Livingston director C/O GUESS, INC, 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Laurie Ann Goldman director 3344 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30326
Kathryn Low Anderson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Gianluca Bolla director C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Reddy Sandeep officer: CFO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021