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HollyFrontier Shiller PE Ratio

: 14.17 (As of Today)
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As of today (2019-10-16), HollyFrontier's current share price is $54.69. HollyFrontier's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2019 was $3.86. HollyFrontier's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 14.17.

NYSE:HFC' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.4   Max: 26.93
Current: 14.16

7.4
26.93

During the past years, HollyFrontier's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 26.93. The lowest was 7.40. And the median was 14.22.

NYSE:HFC's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked higher than
60% of the 75 Companies
in the Oil & Gas - Refining & Marketing industry.

( Industry Median: 15.41 vs. NYSE:HFC: 14.16 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

HollyFrontier's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2019 was $1.150. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $3.86 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2019.


HollyFrontier Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

HollyFrontier Annual Data
Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.52 12.30 11.37 16.88 14.32

HollyFrontier Quarterly Data
Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.03 19.50 14.32 13.22 11.98

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


HollyFrontier Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where HollyFrontier's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



HollyFrontier Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

HollyFrontier's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=54.69/3.86
=14.17

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

HollyFrontier's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec18 is calculated as:

For example, HollyFrontier's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2019 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2019 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2019)
=1.15/256.143*256.143
=1.150

Current CPI (Jun. 2019) = 256.143.

HollyFrontier Quarterly Data

per_share_eps CPI Adj_EPS
200909 0.235 215.969 0.279
200912 -0.405 215.949 -0.480
201003 -0.265 217.631 -0.312
201006 0.620 217.965 0.729
201009 0.480 218.439 0.563
201012 0.140 219.179 0.164
201103 0.790 223.467 0.906
201106 1.790 225.722 2.031
201109 2.480 226.889 2.800
201112 0.790 225.672 0.897
201203 1.160 229.392 1.295
201206 2.390 229.478 2.668
201209 2.940 231.407 3.254
201212 1.920 229.601 2.142
201303 1.630 232.773 1.794
201306 1.270 233.504 1.393
201309 0.410 234.149 0.449
201312 0.310 233.049 0.341
201403 0.760 236.293 0.824
201406 0.890 238.343 0.956
201409 0.880 238.031 0.947
201412 -1.130 234.812 -1.233
201503 1.160 236.119 1.258
201506 1.880 238.638 2.018
201509 1.040 237.945 1.120
201512 -0.240 236.525 -0.260
201603 0.120 238.132 0.129
201606 -2.330 241.018 -2.476
201609 0.420 241.428 0.446
201612 0.300 241.432 0.318
201703 -0.260 243.801 -0.273
201706 0.330 244.955 0.345
201709 1.530 246.819 1.588
201712 2.920 246.524 3.034
201803 1.500 249.554 1.540
201806 1.940 251.989 1.972
201809 1.930 252.439 1.958
201812 0.810 251.233 0.826
201903 1.470 254.202 1.481
201906 1.150 256.143 1.150

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our .


  (:) Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


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