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Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Shiller PE Ratio

: 9.77 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-24), Harley-Davidson's current share price is $39.29. Harley-Davidson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.02. Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 9.77.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

HOG' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.71   Med: 14.56   Max: 24.81
Current: 9.77

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 24.81. The lowest was 4.71. And the median was 14.56.

HOG's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked better than
77.09% of 812 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 17.61 vs HOG: 9.77

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.180. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $4.02 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.80 11.76 10.90 10.85 9.17

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.85 9.56 8.85 8.15 9.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=39.29/4.02
=9.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.18/129.4194*129.4194
=0.180

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201403 1.210 99.695 1.571
201406 1.620 100.560 2.085
201409 0.690 100.428 0.889
201412 0.350 99.070 0.457
201503 1.270 99.621 1.650
201506 1.440 100.684 1.851
201509 0.690 100.392 0.890
201512 0.220 99.792 0.285
201603 1.360 100.470 1.752
201606 1.550 101.688 1.973
201609 0.640 101.861 0.813
201612 0.270 101.863 0.343
201703 1.050 102.862 1.321
201706 1.480 103.349 1.853
201709 0.400 104.136 0.497
201712 0.050 104.011 0.062
201803 1.030 105.290 1.266
201806 1.450 106.317 1.765
201809 0.680 106.507 0.826
201812 0.003 105.998 0.004
201903 0.800 107.251 0.965
201906 1.230 108.070 1.473
201909 0.550 108.329 0.657
201912 0.090 108.420 0.107
202003 0.450 108.902 0.535
202006 -0.600 108.767 -0.714
202009 0.780 109.815 0.919
202012 -0.630 109.897 -0.742
202103 1.680 111.754 1.946
202106 1.330 114.631 1.502
202109 1.050 115.734 1.174
202112 0.140 117.630 0.154
202203 1.450 121.301 1.547
202206 1.460 125.017 1.511
202209 1.780 125.227 1.840
202212 0.280 125.222 0.289
202303 2.040 127.348 2.073
202306 1.220 128.729 1.227
202309 1.380 129.860 1.375
202312 0.180 129.419 0.180

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Harley-Davidson  (NYSE:HOG) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.
Executives
Charles Do officer: Sr. Vice President, HDFSI 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Rafeh Masood director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 25 RESEARCH DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
Sara L Levinson director RODALE INC, 733 3RD AVE 15TH FL, MILWAUKEE WI 10017
Allan C. Golston director 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD., KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Farley Jr James D director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Maryrose Sylvester director C/O 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
R John Anderson director LEVI STRAUSS & CO., 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Norman Thomas Linebarger director
Troy Alstead director 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
David Viney officer: Interim CFO, VP and Treasurer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
O'sullivan Coyne Edel M. officer: Chief Commercial Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jonathan R Root officer: SVP - HDFSI 3700 W JUNEAU, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jagdish Krishnan officer: Chief Digital Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Tori Termaat officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Gina M Goetter officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HASBRO, INC., 1027 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861