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McDonald's (McDonald's) Shiller PE Ratio

: 31.76 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-17), McDonald's's current share price is $269.95. McDonald's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $8.50. McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 31.76.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MCD' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 20.93   Med: 30.44   Max: 37.83
Current: 31.76

During the past years, McDonald's's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.44.

MCD's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
53.96% of 139 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 28.82 vs MCD: 31.76

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.800. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $8.50 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


McDonald's Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Shiller PE Ratio
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.85 33.66 37.24 33.74 34.87

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.74 34.84 36.18 31.22 34.87

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



McDonald's Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=269.95/8.5
=31.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.8/129.4194*129.4194
=2.800

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201403 1.210 99.695 1.571
201406 1.400 100.560 1.802
201409 1.090 100.428 1.405
201412 1.130 99.070 1.476
201503 0.840 99.621 1.091
201506 1.260 100.684 1.620
201509 1.400 100.392 1.805
201512 1.310 99.792 1.699
201603 1.250 100.470 1.610
201606 1.250 101.688 1.591
201609 1.500 101.861 1.906
201612 1.440 101.863 1.830
201703 1.470 102.862 1.850
201706 1.700 103.349 2.129
201709 2.320 104.136 2.883
201712 0.870 104.011 1.083
201803 1.720 105.290 2.114
201806 1.900 106.317 2.313
201809 2.100 106.507 2.552
201812 1.820 105.998 2.222
201903 1.720 107.251 2.076
201906 1.970 108.070 2.359
201909 2.110 108.329 2.521
201912 2.080 108.420 2.483
202003 1.470 108.902 1.747
202006 0.650 108.767 0.773
202009 2.350 109.815 2.770
202012 1.840 109.897 2.167
202103 2.050 111.754 2.374
202106 2.950 114.631 3.331
202109 2.860 115.734 3.198
202112 2.180 117.630 2.398
202203 1.480 121.301 1.579
202206 1.600 125.017 1.656
202209 2.680 125.227 2.770
202212 2.590 125.222 2.677
202303 2.450 127.348 2.490
202306 3.150 128.729 3.167
202309 3.170 129.860 3.159
202312 2.800 129.419 2.800

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


McDonald's  (NYSE:MCD) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


McDonald's Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (McDonald's) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
Executives
Heidi B Capozzi officer: EVP - Chief People Officer C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Joseph M. Erlinger officer: President, McDonald's USA MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Marion K. Gross officer: EVP-Chief Supply Chain Officer MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Christopher J Kempczinski director, officer: President and CEO THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Brian S Rice officer: EVP-Global Chief Info. Officer 7000 CARDINAL PLACE, DUBLIN OH 43017
Edith Morgan Flatley officer: EVP - Global CMO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Ian Frederick Borden officer: EVP & CFO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Enrique Jr Hernandez director, other: Non-Exec Chairman of the Board INTER-CON SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 210 SOUTH DELACEY AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91105
Desiree Ralls-morrison officer: EVP, Chief Legal Off. and Sec. C/O BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Manuel Jm Steijaert officer: EVP - Chief Customer Officer 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jo Sempels officer: President, IDL MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine A. Hoovel officer: SVP - Corporate Controller MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine M. Engelbert director 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Rogers John W Jr director ARIEL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 200 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE, SUITE 2900, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jennifer L Taubert director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933

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