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Safety Insurance Group Inc  (NAS:SAFT) Shiller PE Ratio: 26.08 (As of Today)

As of today, Safety Insurance Group Inc's current share price is $95.45. Safety Insurance Group Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2019 was $3.66. Safety Insurance Group Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 26.08.

NAS:SAFT' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.24   Max: 28.2
Current: 26.08

3.24
28.2

During the past years, Safety Insurance Group Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 28.20. The lowest was 3.24. And the median was 13.61.

NAS:SAFT's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked lower than
61% of the 69 Companies
in the Global industry.

( Industry Median: 20.40 vs. NAS:SAFT: 26.08 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Safety Insurance Group Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2019 was $1.950. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $3.66 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2019.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Safety Insurance Group Inc Annual Data

Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.78 14.55 20.81 23.80 23.49

Safety Insurance Group Inc Quarterly Data

Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.83 24.92 25.71 23.49 23.81

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Safety Insurance Group Inc Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Safety Insurance Group Inc's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Calculation

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Safety Insurance Group Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=95.45/3.66
=26.08

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Safety Insurance Group Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec18 is calculated as:

For example, Safety Insurance Group Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2019 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Mar. 2019 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2019)
=1.95/254.202*254.202
=1.950

Current CPI (Mar. 2019) = 254.202.

Safety Insurance Group Inc Quarterly Data

per_share_eps CPI Adj_EPS
200906 0.960 215.693 1.131
200909 1.110 215.969 1.307
200912 0.690 215.949 0.812
201003 0.850 217.631 0.993
201006 1.000 217.965 1.166
201009 1.030 218.439 1.199
201012 0.870 219.179 1.009
201103 -0.260 223.467 -0.296
201106 0.270 225.722 0.304
201109 0.580 226.889 0.650
201112 0.310 225.672 0.349
201203 1.130 229.392 1.252
201206 1.110 229.478 1.230
201209 0.940 231.407 1.033
201212 0.620 229.601 0.686
201303 0.910 232.773 0.994
201306 1.170 233.504 1.274
201309 1.140 234.149 1.238
201312 0.760 233.049 0.829
201403 0.790 236.293 0.850
201406 1.400 238.343 1.493
201409 1.030 238.031 1.100
201412 0.690 234.812 0.747
201503 -2.370 236.119 -2.552
201506 -0.070 238.638 -0.075
201509 0.800 237.945 0.855
201512 0.690 236.525 0.742
201603 0.840 238.132 0.897
201606 1.410 241.018 1.487
201609 1.230 241.428 1.295
201612 0.790 241.432 0.832
201703 0.790 243.801 0.824
201706 1.390 244.955 1.442
201709 1.180 246.819 1.215
201712 0.720 246.524 0.742
201803 0.600 249.554 0.611
201806 1.750 251.989 1.765
201809 1.880 252.439 1.893
201812 1.190 251.233 1.204
201903 1.950 254.202 1.950

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our .


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


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