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Tilly's (Tilly's) Shiller PE Ratio : 10.94 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Tilly's Shiller PE Ratio?

As of today (2024-04-24), Tilly's's current share price is $5.91. Tilly's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $0.54. Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 10.94.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TLYS' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.25   Med: 11.71   Max: 23.23
Current: 10.94

During the past years, Tilly's's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 23.23. The lowest was 4.25. And the median was 11.71.

TLYS's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked better than
71.53% of 555 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 17.22 vs TLYS: 10.94

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Tilly's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $-0.690. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $0.54 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Tilly's Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tilly's Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Tilly's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.97 14.41 17.46 12.19 13.47

Tilly's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.19 10.94 12.97 12.64 13.47

Competitive Comparison of Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Tilly's Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=5.91/0.54
=10.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tilly's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Tilly's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=-0.69/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.690

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Tilly's Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201404 0.020 100.023 0.026
201407 0.050 100.520 0.064
201410 0.180 100.176 0.233
201501 0.250 98.604 0.328
201504 0.050 99.824 0.065
201507 0.020 100.691 0.026
201510 0.100 100.346 0.129
201601 0.100 99.957 0.129
201604 -0.100 100.947 -0.128
201607 0.050 101.524 0.064
201610 0.220 101.988 0.279
201701 0.220 102.456 0.278
201704 -0.010 103.167 -0.013
201707 -0.020 103.278 -0.025
201710 0.300 104.070 0.373
201801 0.230 104.578 0.285
201804 0.040 105.708 0.049
201807 0.330 106.324 0.402
201810 0.180 106.695 0.218
201901 0.290 106.200 0.353
201904 0.020 107.818 0.024
201907 0.310 108.250 0.371
201910 0.210 108.577 0.250
202001 0.210 108.841 0.250
202004 -0.590 108.173 -0.706
202007 0.180 109.318 0.213
202010 0.070 109.861 0.082
202101 0.290 110.364 0.340
202104 0.360 112.673 0.414
202107 0.660 115.183 0.742
202110 0.660 116.696 0.732
202201 0.380 118.619 0.415
202204 0.030 121.978 0.032
202207 0.130 125.002 0.135
202210 0.170 125.734 0.175
202301 0.010 126.223 0.010
202304 -0.400 127.992 -0.404
202307 -0.040 128.974 -0.040
202310 -0.030 129.810 -0.030
202401 -0.690 129.419 -0.690

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Tilly's  (NYSE:TLYS) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Tilly's Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tilly's's Shiller PE Ratio provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tilly's (Tilly's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10 Whatney, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Tilly's Inc works as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men, young women, boys, and girls. It offers an unparalleled selection of relevant brands, styles, colors, sizes, and price points. It delivers branded fashion, and core styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses. It also provides backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, and jewelry. The company markets its products under the brand names of Vans, RVCA, Adidas, Nike SB, and Hurley among others. It operates its stores in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers, street-front locations, and also through e-commerce.
Executives
Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund Lp 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Seth R Johnson director
Janet Kerr director 50 CASTILIAN DR, GOLETA CA 93117
Michael Henry officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Laura Janney officer: SEE REMARKS C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Robert Simon Goodwin officer: See Remarks C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Jonathon David Kosoff officer: Chief Digital Officer C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Hezy Shaked director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHIEF STRATEGY OFFICER C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Pleasant Lake Partners Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Fund 1 Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115, UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Edmond Thomas director, officer: President and CEO C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Bernard Zeichner director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Teresa Luna Aragones director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Erin Melissa Chin director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Tricia D Smith officer: EVP CMO C/O URBAN OUTFITTERS INC, 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA X1 19112