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AAR (AIR) E10 : $1.27 (As of Feb. 2024)


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What is AAR E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was $0.390. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $1.27 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2024.

During the past 12 months, AAR's average E10 Growth Rate was 0.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 5.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -1.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -2.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of AAR was 33.70% per year. The lowest was -13.20% per year. And the median was 1.30% per year.

As of today (2024-04-24), AAR's current stock price is $67.93. AAR's E10 for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 was $1.27. AAR's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 53.49.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of AAR was 55.01. The lowest was 10.70. And the median was 26.57.


AAR E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAR's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAR E10 Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.28 1.15 1.10 1.21 1.34

AAR Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.26 1.34 1.29 1.29 1.27

Competitive Comparison of AAR's E10

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



AAR E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, AAR's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=0.39/129.4194*129.4194
=0.390

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 129.4194.

AAR Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201405 0.430 100.373 0.554
201408 0.360 100.352 0.464
201411 0.380 99.635 0.494
201502 -0.890 99.032 -1.163
201505 0.360 100.333 0.464
201508 0.650 100.548 0.837
201511 0.230 100.135 0.297
201602 0.140 100.040 0.181
201605 0.340 101.355 0.434
201608 0.280 101.617 0.357
201611 0.350 101.829 0.445
201702 0.400 102.779 0.504
201705 0.620 103.256 0.777
201708 0.310 103.587 0.387
201711 -0.660 104.072 -0.821
201802 0.440 105.052 0.542
201805 0.340 106.148 0.415
201808 0.430 106.383 0.523
201811 0.200 106.338 0.243
201902 -1.080 106.649 -1.311
201905 0.650 108.048 0.779
201908 0.120 108.245 0.143
201911 0.400 108.519 0.477
202002 0.060 109.139 0.071
202005 -0.470 108.175 -0.562
202008 -0.420 109.662 -0.496
202011 0.230 109.793 0.271
202102 0.790 110.968 0.921
202105 0.390 113.576 0.444
202108 0.320 115.421 0.359
202111 0.580 117.269 0.640
202202 0.630 119.703 0.681
202205 0.660 123.323 0.693
202208 0.630 124.958 0.652
202211 0.640 125.607 0.659
202302 0.620 126.928 0.632
202305 0.660 128.314 0.666
202308 -0.020 129.538 -0.020
202311 0.670 129.548 0.669
202402 0.390 129.419 0.390

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


AAR  (NYSE:AIR) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

AAR's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=67.93/1.27
=53.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of AAR was 55.01. The lowest was 10.70. And the median was 26.57.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


AAR E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AAR's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AAR (AIR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government, and defense market. It operates in two segments namely Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services. The Aviation Services segment consists of aftermarket support and services businesses that provide spares and maintenance support for aircraft operated by it's commercial and government/defense customers. The Expeditionary Services segment consists of businesses that provide products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. Department of Defense, foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Aviation Services Segment.
Executives
Peter Pace director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Holmes John Mcclain Iii officer: Group Vice President 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Billy Nolen director 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Sean M. Gillen officer: VP-CFO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Eric Pachapa officer: VP, Controller and CAO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jessica A. Garascia officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Tracey Patterson officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Christopher A. Jessup officer: Vice President-CCO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jennifer L Vogel director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
John W Dietrich director
Anthony Anderson director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Gilbertson H John Jr director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Storch director, officer: President, CEO & Director C/O AAR CORP, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD IL 60007
Michael Ross Boyce director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Ellen M. Lord director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191