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ISHBQ.PFD (International Shipholding) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $ (As of Dec15)


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What is International Shipholding Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec15, International Shipholding's earnings power value is $. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


International Shipholding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

International Shipholding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

International Shipholding Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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International Shipholding Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
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Competitive Comparison of International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



International Shipholding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

International Shipholding's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 272.12
DDA 28.65
Operating Margin % -12.66
SGA * 25% 5.43
Tax Rate % 34.60
Maintenance Capex 51.69
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9.56
Short-Term Debt 156.81
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 0.00

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -12.66%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $272.12 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -12.66%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.43,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 272.12 * -12.66% +5.43 = $-29.018483615 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 34.60%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-29.018483615 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -29.018483615 * ( 1 - 34.60% ) = $-18.976782452447 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 28.65 * 0.5 * 34.60% = $4.956264117 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -18.976782452447 + 4.956264117 = $-14.020518335447 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
International Shipholding's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $51.69 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. International Shipholding's current cash and cash equivalent = $9.56 Mil.
International Shipholding's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 156.81 = $156.807 Mil.
International Shipholding's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 0.00 Mil.

International Shipholding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -14.020518335447 - 51.69)/ 9%+9.56-156.807 )/0.00
=

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.04 )/
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


International Shipholding  (OTCPK:ISHBQ.PFD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


International Shipholding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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International Shipholding Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
International Shipholding Corp was originally founded as Central Gulf Steamship Corporation in 1947. Central Gulf was privately held until 1971 when it merged with Trans Union Corporation ("Trans Union"). In 1978, International Shipholding Corporation was formed to act as a holding company for Central Gulf, LCI, and certain other affiliated companies in connection with the 1979 spin off by Trans Union of its common stock to Trans Union's stockholders. Through its subsidiaries, it operates a fleet of U.S. and International Flag vessels that provide international and domestic maritime transportation services to commercial and governmental customers under medium to long-term time charters or contracts of affreightment. As of December 31, 2014 it owned or operated 54 ocean-going vessels. Its segments include Jones Act, Pure Car Truck Carriers, Dry Bulk Carriers, Rail-Ferry, Specialty Contracts, and Other. Its Rail-Ferry segment faces competition from companies who transport cargo over land rather than water including railroads and trucking companies that cross land borders. The Company's operations between the United States and foreign countries are subject to the Shipping Act of 1984, which is administered by the Federal Maritime Commission, and certain provisions of the Federal Water Pollution Control Act, the Oil Pollution Act of 1990, the Act to Prevent Pollution from Ships, and the Comprehensive Environmental Response Compensation and Liability Act, all of which are administered by the U.S. Coast Guard and other federal agencies, and certain other international, federal, state, and local laws and regulations, including international conventions and laws and regulations of the flag nations of its vessels.
Executives
Kevin Michael Wilson officer: Principal Accounting Officer 650 POYDRAS STREET, SUITE 1700, NEW ORLEANS LA 70130
Niels M Johnsen director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO ONE WHITEHALL ST, NEW YORK NY 10004
Peter Matthew Johnston officer: Executive Vice President 11 NORTH WATER STREET SUITE 18290, MOBILE AL 36602
Erik L Johnsen director, officer: President 650 POYDRAS ST, STE 1700, NEW ORLEANS LA 70130
Kenneth H Beer director 625 E. KALISTE SALOOM RD., LAFAYETTE LA 70508
James J Mcnamara director C/O INTERNATIONAL SHIPHOLDING CORP, 11 NORTH WATER STREET / SUITE 18290, MOBILE AL 36602
Robinson T Lee Jr director INTERNATIONAL SHIPHOLDING CORPORATION, 11 NORTH WATER ST, STE 18290, MOBILE AL 36602
Harris V Morrissette director
Lane Harry Merritt Iii director 835 UNION STREET, NEW ORLEANS LA 70112
Edwin Lupberger director
Manuel G Estrada officer: CFO/Vice President
Niels W. Johnsen Family 2011 Trust 10 percent owner C/O WINDELS MARX LANE & MITTENDORF, LLP, 156 WEST 56TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Erik F Johnsen director 650 POYDRAS ST, STE 1700, NEW ORLEANS LA 70130
Ada Pratt Boutchard officer: Vice President and Controller 650 POYDRAS STREET, SUITE 1700, NEW ORLEANS LA 70130
Obrien Raymond V Jr director