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Alcoa (AA) Piotroski F-Score

: 3 (As of Today)
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Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 3 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Alcoa has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AA' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Med: 5   Max: 9
Current: 3

During the past 11 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Alcoa was 9. The lowest was 3. And the median was 5.


Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Piotroski F-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.00 4.00 7.00 5.00 3.00

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Piotroski F-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00

Competitive Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Piotroski F-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score falls into.


How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Net Income was -102 + -168 + -150 + -252 = $-672 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -13 + 69 + 198 + -223 = $31 Mil.
Revenue was 2684 + 2602 + 2595 + 2599 = $10,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was 169 + 133 + 170 + 195 = $667 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Mar23)
to the end of this year (Mar24) was
(14369 + 14128 + 13917 + 14155 + 14328) / 5 = $14179.4 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Mar23) was $14,369 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,469 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,881 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,041 Mil.
Net Income was 549 + -746 + -395 + -231 = $-823 Mil.

Revenue was 3644 + 2851 + 2663 + 2670 = $11,828 Mil.
Gross Profit was 877 + 183 + 67 + 266 = $1,393 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Mar22)
to the end of last year (Mar23) was
(15988 + 15709 + 14885 + 14756 + 14369) / 5 = $15141.4 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Mar22) was $15,988 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,806 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,785 Mil.

*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Alcoa's current Net Income (TTM) was -672. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Alcoa's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 31. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Mar23)
=-672/14369
=-0.04676735

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Mar22)
=-823/15988
=-0.05147611

Alcoa's return on assets of this year was -0.04676735. Alcoa's return on assets of last year was -0.05147611. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Alcoa's current Net Income (TTM) was -672. Alcoa's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 31. ==> 31 > -672 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Mar24)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Mar23 to Mar24
=2469/14179.4
=0.17412584

Gearing (Last Year: Mar23)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Mar22 to Mar23
=1806/15141.4
=0.11927563

Alcoa's gearing of this year was 0.17412584. Alcoa's gearing of last year was 0.11927563. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Mar24)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4881/3041
=1.60506412

Current Ratio (Last Year: Mar23)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4946/2785
=1.77594255

Alcoa's current ratio of this year was 1.60506412. Alcoa's current ratio of last year was 1.77594255. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Alcoa's number of shares in issue this year was 179.285. Alcoa's number of shares in issue last year was 178. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=667/10480
=0.06364504

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1393/11828
=0.11777139

Alcoa's gross margin of this year was 0.06364504. Alcoa's gross margin of last year was 0.11777139. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Mar23)
=10480/14369
=0.7293479

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Mar22)
=11828/15988
=0.73980485

Alcoa's asset turnover of this year was 0.7293479. Alcoa's asset turnover of last year was 0.73980485. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=0+1+1+1+0+0+0+0+0
=3

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Alcoa has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

Alcoa  (NYSE:AA) Piotroski F-Score Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Related Terms

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Alcoa (AA) Business Description

Address
201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa Corp is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and the manufacture of primary aluminum. It is the world's largest bauxite miner and alumina refiner by production volume, and its profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain. The company segments include Bauxite; Alumina and Aluminum. It generates maximum revenue from the Aluminum segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Renee Henry officer: SVP & Controller 201 ISABELLA STREET, STE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Nicol Gagstetter officer: EVP & Chief Ext. Aff. Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Andrew Hastings officer: EVP & Gen. Counsel 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
De Oliveira Marques Roberto director C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60048
Roy Christopher Harvey director, officer: President, CEO & Director 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Renato Bacchi officer: EVP & Chief Strategy Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Harden Sonya Elam officer: EVP & Chief Ext. Aff. Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
William F Oplinger officer: Executive VP & CFO 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Jeffrey D. Heeter officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O ALCOA CORPORATION, 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Tammi A Jones officer: EVP & CHRO 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Jackson Prince Roberts director 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
John D Slaven officer: EVP & Chief Strategy Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212-5858
Kelly R. Thomas officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 25825 SCIENCE PARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Molly S. Beerman officer: Vice President and Controller 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Benjamin D Kahrs officer: EVP, Chief Innovation Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212