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Aspen Technology Inc  (NAS:AZPN) Piotroski F-Score: 6 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Aspen Technology Inc has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

NAS:AZPN' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1   Max: 9
Current: 6

1
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Aspen Technology Inc was 9. The lowest was 1. And the median was 6.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Aspen Technology Inc Annual Data

Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17
Piotroski F-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 6.00

Aspen Technology Inc Quarterly Data

Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17
Piotroski F-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.00 8.00 6.00 6.00 6.00

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Sep17) TTM:Last Year (Sep16) TTM:
Net Income was 37.01 + 35.834 + 54.351 + 34.755 = $162.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 27.167 + 55.621 + 73.348 + 12.36 = $168.5 Mil.
Revenue was 119.933 + 119.277 + 123.681 + 122.781 = $485.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 108.354 + 107.01 + 111.567 + 110.049 = $437.0 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep16)
to the end of this year (Sep17) was
(289.944 + 267.357 + 243.952 + 247.942 + 202.723) / 5 = $250.3836 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year ({FiscalYear0}) was $289.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $101.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $429.7 Mil.
Total Assets was 36.683 + 33.171 + 33.326 + 35 = $138.2 Mil.

Revenue was 119.151 + 119.217 + 113.68 + 120.05 = $472.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 107.263 + 107.197 + 101.949 + 108.544 = $425.0 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep15)
to the end of last year (Sep16) was
(266.78 + 276.393 + 439.431 + 419.738 + 289.944) / 5 = $338.4572 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep15) was $266.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $225.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $411.7 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Aspen Technology Inc's current Net Income (TTM) was {NetIncome0_f}. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Aspen Technology Inc's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 168.5. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets(Sep16)
=161.95/289.944
=0.55855613

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets(Sep15)
=138.18/266.78
=0.51795487

Aspen Technology Inc's return on assets of this year was 0.55855613. Aspen Technology Inc's return on assets of last year was 0.51795487. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Aspen Technology Inc's current Net Income (TTM) was 162.0. Aspen Technology Inc's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 168.5. ==> 168.5 > 162.0 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Aspen Technology Inc's gearing of this year was 0. Aspen Technology Inc's gearing of last year was 0. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep17)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=101.937/429.672
=0.23724376

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=225.664/411.665
=0.54817388

Aspen Technology Inc's current ratio of this year was 0.23724376. Aspen Technology Inc's current ratio of last year was 0.54817388. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Aspen Technology Inc's number of shares in issue this year was 73.6. Aspen Technology Inc's number of shares in issue last year was 79.4. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=436.98/485.672
=0.89974304

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=424.953/472.098
=0.90013726

Aspen Technology Inc's gross margin of this year was 0.89974304. Aspen Technology Inc's gross margin of last year was 0.90013726. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep16)
=485.672/289.944
=1.67505449

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep15)
=472.098/266.78
=1.76961541

Aspen Technology Inc's asset turnover of this year was 1.67505449. Aspen Technology Inc's asset turnover of last year was 1.76961541. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+1+1+0+1+0+0
=6

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Aspen Technology Inc has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


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