Market Cap : 20.01 B | Enterprise Value : 67.58 B | P/E (TTM) : | P/B : 1.96 |
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Warning Sign:
Piotroski F-Score of 3 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3
Occidental Petroleum has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.
During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Occidental Petroleum was 9. The lowest was 1. And the median was 6.
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
* The bar in red indicates where Occidental Petroleum's Piotroski F-Score falls into.
How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
This Year (Sep20) TTM: | Last Year (Sep19) TTM: |
Net Income was -1139 + -2013 + -8131 + -3575 = $-14,858 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 2009 + 1339 + 360 + 852 = $4,560 Mil. Revenue was 6110 + 6410 + 2928 + 4108 = $19,556 Mil. Gross Profit was 1803 + 2117 + -613 + 586 = $3,893 Mil. Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep19) to the end of this year (Sep20) was (125443 + 109330 + 101643 + 89452 + 84434) / 5 = $102060.4 Mil. Total Assets at the begining of this year (Sep19) was $125,443 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $36,685 Mil. Total Current Assets was $10,694 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $10,500 Mil. |
Net Income was 706 + 631 + 635 + -794 = $1,178 Mil. Revenue was 4762 + 4004 + 4420 + 5859 = $19,045 Mil. Gross Profit was 1753 + 1352 + 1605 + 1936 = $6,646 Mil. Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep18) to the end of last year (Sep19) was (44957 + 43854 + 44380 + 44770 + 125443) / 5 = $60680.8 Mil. Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep18) was $44,957 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $48,259 Mil. Total Current Assets was $20,944 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $15,697 Mil. |
*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.
Profitability
Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)
Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.
Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.
Occidental Petroleum's current Net Income (TTM) was -14,858.
==> Negative ==> Score 0.
Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)
Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.
Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.
Occidental Petroleum's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 4,560.
==> Positive ==> Score 1.
Question 3. Change in Return on Assets
Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.
Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.
ROA (This Year) | = | Net Income | / | Total Assets (Sep19) |
= | -14858 | / | 125443 | |
= | -0.11844423 |
ROA (Last Year) | = | Net Income | / | Total Assets (Sep18) |
= | 1178 | / | 44957 | |
= | 0.02620282 |
Occidental Petroleum's return on assets of this year was -0.11844423. Occidental Petroleum's return on assets of last year was 0.02620282.
==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.
Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)
Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)
Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.
Occidental Petroleum's current Net Income (TTM) was -14,858. Occidental Petroleum's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 4,560.
==> 4,560 > -14,858 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.
Funding
Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage
Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.
Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.
Gearing (This Year: Sep20) | = | Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation | / | Average Total Assets from Sep19 to Sep20 |
= | 36685 | / | 102060.4 | |
= | 0.35944402 |
Gearing (Last Year: Sep19) | = | Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation | / | Average Total Assets from Sep18 to Sep19 |
= | 48259 | / | 60680.8 | |
= | 0.79529274 |
Occidental Petroleum's gearing of this year was 0.35944402. Occidental Petroleum's gearing of last year was 0.79529274.
==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.
Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)
Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.
Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower
Current Ratio (This Year: Sep20) | = | Total Current Assets | / | Total Current Liabilities |
= | 10694 | / | 10500 | |
= | 1.01847619 |
Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep19) | = | Total Current Assets | / | Total Current Liabilities |
= | 20944 | / | 15697 | |
= | 1.33426769 |
Occidental Petroleum's current ratio of this year was 1.01847619. Occidental Petroleum's current ratio of last year was 1.33426769.
==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.
Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue
Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.
Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.
Occidental Petroleum's number of shares in issue this year was 929.3. Occidental Petroleum's number of shares in issue last year was 845.7.
==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.
Efficiency
Question 8. Change in Gross Margin
Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.
Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.
Gross Margin (This Year: TTM) | = | Gross Profit | / | Revenue |
= | 3893 | / | 19556 | |
= | 0.19906934 |
Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM) | = | Gross Profit | / | Revenue |
= | 6646 | / | 19045 | |
= | 0.34896298 |
Occidental Petroleum's gross margin of this year was 0.19906934. Occidental Petroleum's gross margin of last year was 0.34896298.
==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.
Question 9. Change in asset turnover
Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.
Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower
Asset Turnover (This Year) | = | Revenue | / | Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep19) |
= | 19556 | / | 125443 | |
= | 0.15589551 |
Asset Turnover (Last Year) | = | Revenue | / | Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep18) |
= | 19045 | / | 44957 | |
= | 0.42362702 |
Occidental Petroleum's asset turnover of this year was 0.15589551. Occidental Petroleum's asset turnover of last year was 0.42362702.
==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.
Evaluation
Piotroski F-Score | = | Que. 1 | + | Que. 2 | + | Que. 3 | + | Que. 4 | + | Que. 5 | + | Que. 6 | + | Que. 7 | + | Que. 8 | + | Que. 9 |
= | 0 | + | 1 | + | 0 | + | 1 | + | 1 | + | 0 | + | 0 | + | 0 | + | 0 | |
= | 3 |
Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3
Occidental Petroleum has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.
The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.
He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.
In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).
He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.
What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.
Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.
Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).
Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.
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