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ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO Express (Cayman)) Piotroski F-Score

: 6 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

ZTO Express (Cayman) has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

The historical rank and industry rank for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ZTO' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Med: 5   Max: 7
Current: 6

During the past 9 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of ZTO Express (Cayman) was 7. The lowest was 3. And the median was 5.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Piotroski F-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Piotroski F-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.00 4.00 5.00 5.00 7.00

ZTO Express (Cayman) Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Piotroski F-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.00 7.00 6.00 6.00 6.00

Competitive Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Piotroski F-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Piotroski F-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Piotroski F-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Piotroski F-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Piotroski F-Score falls into.


How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Net Income was 310.199 + 242.397 + 354.847 + 321.347 = $1,229 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 540.734 + 397.332 + 525.261 + 402.596 = $1,866 Mil.
Revenue was 1415.914 + 1303.638 + 1360.115 + 1243.634 = $5,323 Mil.
Gross Profit was 397.688 + 366.194 + 461.422 + 370.852 = $1,596 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep22)
to the end of this year (Sep23) was
(11053.946 + 11263.191 + 11710.608 + 11457.892 + 11984.777) / 5 = $11494.0828 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Sep22) was $11,054 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,050 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,388 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,895 Mil.
Net Income was 276.691 + 142.841 + 269.623 + 275.66 = $965 Mil.

Revenue was 1447.179 + 1245.792 + 1292.968 + 1274.299 = $5,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 353.402 + 255.253 + 329.015 + 348.232 = $1,286 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep21)
to the end of last year (Sep22) was
(9395.878 + 9855.454 + 10299.681 + 10232.111 + 11053.946) / 5 = $10167.414 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep21) was $9,396 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,063 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,955 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,493 Mil.

*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Net Income (TTM) was 1,229. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 1,866. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Sep22)
=1228.79/11053.946
=0.11116302

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Sep21)
=964.815/9395.878
=0.10268492

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s return on assets of this year was 0.11116302. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s return on assets of last year was 0.10268492. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Net Income (TTM) was 1,229. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 1,866. ==> 1,866 > 1,229 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Sep23)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Sep22 to Sep23
=1049.832/11494.0828
=0.09133674

Gearing (Last Year: Sep22)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Sep21 to Sep22
=1062.763/10167.414
=0.10452638

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s gearing of this year was 0.09133674. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s gearing of last year was 0.10452638. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep23)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=3388.253/2894.8
=1.17046186

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep22)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=3954.923/2493.175
=1.5862998

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current ratio of this year was 1.17046186. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current ratio of last year was 1.5862998. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s number of shares in issue this year was 838.29. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s number of shares in issue last year was 821.077. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1596.156/5323.301
=0.29984327

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1285.902/5260.238
=0.244457

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s gross margin of this year was 0.29984327. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s gross margin of last year was 0.244457. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep22)
=5323.301/11053.946
=0.48157472

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep21)
=5260.238/9395.878
=0.55984529

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s asset turnover of this year was 0.48157472. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s asset turnover of last year was 0.55984529. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+1+1+0+0+1+0
=6

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

ZTO Express (Cayman) has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

ZTO Express (Cayman)  (NYSE:ZTO) Piotroski F-Score Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Piotroski F-Score Related Terms

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ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO Express (Cayman)) Business Description

Address
No. 1685 Huazhi Road, Building One, Qingpu District, Shanghai, CHN, 201708
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 22.1% in 2022. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains the Chairman, CEO, and its major shareholder with 77% voting rights as of June 30, 2023. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company, Alibaba Group, with around an 11.7% interest.