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GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Signs with Procter & Gamble Co $PG.
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Procter & Gamble Co (NYSE:PG)
Piotroski F-Score
7 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 7, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Procter & Gamble Co has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.

PG' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Max: 8
Current: 7

3
8

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Procter & Gamble Co was 8. The lowest was 3. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Mar17) TTM:Last Year (Mar16) TTM:
Net Income was 1951 + 2714 + 7875 + 2522 = $15,062 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4139 + 3025 + 3000 + 3040 = $13,204 Mil.
Revenue was 16102 + 16518 + 16856 + 15605 = $65,081 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7720 + 8416 + 8558 + 7769 = $32,463 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Mar16)
to the end of this year (Mar17) was
(127508 + 127136 + 129043 + 117033 + 118091) / 5 = $123762.2 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Mar16) was $127,508 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $16,633 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $25,885 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $29,082 Mil.
Net Income was 521 + 2601 + 3206 + 2750 = $9,078 Mil.

Revenue was 16553 + 16527 + 16915 + 15755 = $65,750 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7716 + 8375 + 8455 + 7840 = $32,386 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Mar15)
to the end of last year (Mar16) was
(130937 + 129495 + 129265 + 129143 + 127508) / 5 = $129269.6 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Mar15) was $130,937 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $19,134 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $34,317 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $31,357 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Procter & Gamble Co's current net income (TTM) was 15,062. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Procter & Gamble Co's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 13,204. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Mar16)
=15062/127508
=0.11812592

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Mar15)
=9078/130937
=0.06933105

Procter & Gamble Co's return on assets of this year was 0.11812592. Procter & Gamble Co's return on assets of last year was 0.06933105. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Procter & Gamble Co's current net income (TTM) was 15,062. Procter & Gamble Co's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 13,204. ==> 13,204 <= 15,062 ==> CFROA <= ROA ==> Score 0.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Mar17)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Mar16 to Mar17
=16633/123762.2
=0.13439483

Gearing (Last Year: Mar16)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Mar15 to Mar16
=19134/129269.6
=0.14801624

Procter & Gamble Co's gearing of this year was 0.13439483. Procter & Gamble Co's gearing of last year was 0.14801624. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Mar17)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=25885/29082
=0.89006946

Current Ratio (Last Year: Mar16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=34317/31357
=1.09439679

Procter & Gamble Co's current ratio of this year was 0.89006946. Procter & Gamble Co's current ratio of last year was 1.09439679. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Procter & Gamble Co's number of shares in issue this year was 2705.5. Procter & Gamble Co's number of shares in issue last year was 2835. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=32463/65081
=0.49880918

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=32386/65750
=0.49256274

Procter & Gamble Co's gross margin of this year was 0.49880918. Procter & Gamble Co's gross margin of last year was 0.49256274. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Mar16)
=65081/127508
=0.51040719

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Mar15)
=65750/130937
=0.50214989

Procter & Gamble Co's asset turnover of this year was 0.51040719. Procter & Gamble Co's asset turnover of last year was 0.50214989. ==> This year's asset turnover is higher. ==> Score 1.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+0+1+0+1+1+1
=7

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Procter & Gamble Co has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Procter & Gamble Co Annual Data

Jun07Jun08Jun09Jun10Jun11Jun12Jun13Jun14Jun15Jun16
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0111001001
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 1110011010
Question 6 0101110111
Question 7 1011110111
Question 8 1001001011
Question 9 0101101001
F-score 6768667578

Procter & Gamble Co Quarterly Data

Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16Dec16Mar17
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0000011111
Question 4 1111111100
Question 5 1111000011
Question 6 1111111000
Question 7 1111111111
Question 8 0011111111
Question 9 0000011111
F-score 6677688777
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