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Tilly's (Tilly's) Piotroski F-Score : 3 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Tilly's Piotroski F-Score?

Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 3 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Tilly's has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TLYS' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Med: 6   Max: 7
Current: 3

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Tilly's was 7. The lowest was 3. And the median was 6.


Tilly's Piotroski F-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tilly's Piotroski F-Score Chart

Tilly's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Piotroski F-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.00 5.00 7.00 3.00 3.00

Tilly's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Piotroski F-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.00 2.00 3.00 2.00 3.00

Competitive Comparison of Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Piotroski F-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tilly's's Piotroski F-Score falls into.


How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Net Income was -11.968 + -1.125 + -0.847 + -20.552 = $-34.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -16.195 + 12.296 + -6.559 + 3.725 = $-6.7 Mil.
Revenue was 123.637 + 159.951 + 166.475 + 173.02 = $623.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 25.938 + 44.316 + 48.719 + 46.684 = $165.7 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Jan23)
to the end of this year (Jan24) was
(475.752 + 473.184 + 503.287 + 475.974 + 429.545) / 5 = $471.5484 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Jan23) was $475.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $179.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $176.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $104.6 Mil.
Net Income was 0.813 + 3.819 + 5.149 + -0.104 = $9.7 Mil.

Revenue was 145.775 + 168.308 + 177.847 + 180.35 = $672.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 43.815 + 51.982 + 54.583 + 52.368 = $202.7 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Jan22)
to the end of last year (Jan23) was
(504.823 + 485.657 + 517.488 + 500.44 + 475.752) / 5 = $496.832 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Jan22) was $504.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $190.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $202.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $108.3 Mil.

*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Tilly's's current Net Income (TTM) was -34.5. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Tilly's's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was -6.7. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Jan23)
=-34.492/475.752
=-0.07249996

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Jan22)
=9.677/504.823
=0.01916909

Tilly's's return on assets of this year was -0.07249996. Tilly's's return on assets of last year was 0.01916909. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Tilly's's current Net Income (TTM) was -34.5. Tilly's's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was -6.7. ==> -6.7 > -34.5 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Jan24)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Jan23 to Jan24
=179.798/471.5484
=0.38129278

Gearing (Last Year: Jan23)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Jan22 to Jan23
=190.301/496.832
=0.38302887

Tilly's's gearing of this year was 0.38129278. Tilly's's gearing of last year was 0.38302887. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Jan24)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=176.059/104.557
=1.68385665

Current Ratio (Last Year: Jan23)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=202.398/108.304
=1.86879524

Tilly's's current ratio of this year was 1.68385665. Tilly's's current ratio of last year was 1.86879524. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Tilly's's number of shares in issue this year was 29.89. Tilly's's number of shares in issue last year was 30.008. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=165.657/623.083
=0.26586667

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=202.748/672.28
=0.30158267

Tilly's's gross margin of this year was 0.26586667. Tilly's's gross margin of last year was 0.30158267. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Jan23)
=623.083/475.752
=1.30968025

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Jan22)
=672.28/504.823
=1.33171428

Tilly's's asset turnover of this year was 1.30968025. Tilly's's asset turnover of last year was 1.33171428. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=0+0+0+1+1+0+1+0+0
=3

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Tilly's has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

Tilly's  (NYSE:TLYS) Piotroski F-Score Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Tilly's Piotroski F-Score Related Terms

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Tilly's (Tilly's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10 Whatney, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Tilly's Inc works as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men, young women, boys, and girls. It offers an unparalleled selection of relevant brands, styles, colors, sizes, and price points. It delivers branded fashion, and core styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses. It also provides backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, and jewelry. The company markets its products under the brand names of Vans, RVCA, Adidas, Nike SB, and Hurley among others. It operates its stores in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers, street-front locations, and also through e-commerce.
Executives
Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund Lp 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Seth R Johnson director
Janet Kerr director 50 CASTILIAN DR, GOLETA CA 93117
Michael Henry officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Laura Janney officer: SEE REMARKS C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Robert Simon Goodwin officer: See Remarks C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Jonathon David Kosoff officer: Chief Digital Officer C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Hezy Shaked director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHIEF STRATEGY OFFICER C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Pleasant Lake Partners Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Fund 1 Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115, UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Edmond Thomas director, officer: President and CEO C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Bernard Zeichner director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Teresa Luna Aragones director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Erin Melissa Chin director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Tricia D Smith officer: EVP CMO C/O URBAN OUTFITTERS INC, 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA X1 19112