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Varian Medical Systems Inc  (NYSE:VAR) Piotroski F-Score: 8 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 8 is 8, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Varian Medical Systems Inc has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

NYSE:VAR' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4   Max: 9
Current: 8

4
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Varian Medical Systems Inc was 9. The lowest was 4. And the median was 6.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Varian Medical Systems Inc Annual Data

Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17
Piotroski F-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.00 6.00 7.00 6.00 0.00

Varian Medical Systems Inc Quarterly Data

Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17
Piotroski F-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 0.00

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Sep17) TTM:Last Year (Sep16) TTM:
Net Income was 20.4 + 56.1 + 90.4 + 82.7 = $250 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 82.2 + 32.2 + 155 + 0 = $269 Mil.
Revenue was 763.3 + 655 + 662.4 + 739 = $2,820 Mil.
Gross Profit was 334.5 + 275.3 + 293.3 + 311.3 = $1,214 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep16)
to the end of this year (Sep17) was
(3816 + 3684.8 + 3118.8 + 3059 + 3179.4) / 5 = $3371.6 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year ({FiscalYear0}) was $3,816 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,190 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,550 Mil.
Total Assets was 89 + 97 + 98.8 + 117.5 = $402 Mil.

Revenue was 757.1 + 615.2 + 642.9 + 1343.9 = $3,359 Mil.
Gross Profit was 309.7 + 258.1 + 283.5 + 567.2 = $1,419 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep15)
to the end of last year (Sep16) was
(3578.7 + 3726.662 + 3866.258 + 3759.452 + 3816) / 5 = $3749.4144 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep15) was $3,579 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $288 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,616 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,614 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Varian Medical Systems Inc's current Net Income (TTM) was {NetIncome0_f}. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Varian Medical Systems Inc's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 269. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets(Sep16)
=249.6/3816
=0.06540881

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets(Sep15)
=402.3/3578.7
=0.11241512

Varian Medical Systems Inc's return on assets of this year was 0.06540881. Varian Medical Systems Inc's return on assets of last year was 0.11241512. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Varian Medical Systems Inc's current Net Income (TTM) was 250. Varian Medical Systems Inc's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 269. ==> 269 > 250 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (Last Year: Sep16)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Total Assetsfrom Sep15 to Sep16
=287.5/3749.4144
=0.07667864

Varian Medical Systems Inc's gearing of this year was 0. Varian Medical Systems Inc's gearing of last year was 0.07667864. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep17)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=2190.3/1550.1
=1.41300561

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=2616/1614
=1.62081784

Varian Medical Systems Inc's current ratio of this year was 1.41300561. Varian Medical Systems Inc's current ratio of last year was 1.62081784. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Varian Medical Systems Inc's number of shares in issue this year was 92.6. Varian Medical Systems Inc's number of shares in issue last year was 94.5. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1214.4/2819.7
=0.43068412

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1418.5/3359.1
=0.42228573

Varian Medical Systems Inc's gross margin of this year was 0.43068412. Varian Medical Systems Inc's gross margin of last year was 0.42228573. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep16)
=2819.7/3816
=0.73891509

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep15)
=3359.1/3578.7
=0.93863694

Varian Medical Systems Inc's asset turnover of this year was 0.73891509. Varian Medical Systems Inc's asset turnover of last year was 0.93863694. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+0+1+1+0+1+1+0
=6

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Varian Medical Systems Inc has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


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